PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

sidgley

0xc4df9d49a4866c697a458d028d72e94ae2962313

Realised P&L
$-50.97
Volume
$1.4k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$187.14

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
ClearOpen concentration25.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4490.425$48.13$2.71
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.3790.356$38.06$2.47
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? · No0.4150.335$23.56$5.66
Will Humberto Costa win the second-most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election? · Yes0.3750.475$18.81+$3.95
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? · Yes0.0880.054$12.33$7.67
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? · Yes0.2300.225$9.78$0.22
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District? · No0.1650.075$8.91$10.64
Will Humberto Costa win the most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election? · Yes0.2480.140$6.98$5.42
Will Lula win 44% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4000.440$5.50+$0.50
Will Lucas Ribeiro win the Governor of Paraíba election? · No0.2100.190$3.62$0.38
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás? · Yes0.2170.056$3.58$10.42
Will Cícero Lucena win the Governor of Paraíba election? · Yes0.2030.060$2.96$7.04
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? · No0.0290.032$2.67+$0.27
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? · No0.0490.023$1.93$2.17
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0180.002$0.30$3.31

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 07:16Will Lula win 44% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.4$5.00
09-18 07:16Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.4299999991$5.00
09-14 18:54Will Humberto Costa win the most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election?BUY0.2931725249$1.20
09-14 18:54Will Humberto Costa win the most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election?BUY0.2909999534$1.20
09-14 18:53Will Humberto Costa win the second-most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election?BUY0.3699999984$7.00
09-14 18:51Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?BUY0.2299999993$10.00
09-14 18:48Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.4599999669$5.00
09-12 19:55Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?BUY0.4$6.38
09-12 19:54Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.554$6.58
09-12 01:01Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?BUY0.4199999952$22.84
09-11 08:31Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.4499999978$40.84
09-11 08:28Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?BUY0.0794975753$10.00
09-05 22:52Will Humberto Costa win the second-most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election?BUY0.3799999797$7.86
09-05 22:50Will Humberto Costa win the most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election?BUY0.2389999829$10.00
09-04 04:54Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.0130000001$1.36