PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xc4dbab05fa3c413ddfab32480be1473bf9779506

Realised P&L
$65.73
Volume
$5.7k
Markets traded
74
Open portfolio
$107.10

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded74
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration99.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election? · No0.8000.855$106.88+$6.88
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? · Yes0.0980.011$0.22$1.78

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-09 14:13Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election?BUY0.8$100.00
07-12 00:06Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 95m?BUY0.25$5.00
07-12 00:04Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.5749999871$10.00
07-11 20:55Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.2174999853$10.00
06-22 14:37Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?BUY0.3699999674$5.00
06-22 14:35Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL0.989$46.35
06-19 00:08Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?BUY0.4452315496$10.00
06-10 09:50Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?BUY0.5$10.00
05-25 20:17Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?BUY0.5199999813$10.00
05-16 07:16Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?SELL0.991$22.41
05-12 07:51Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?BUY0.4399999823$9.95
05-08 21:08Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?BUY0.16$5.00
05-03 22:02Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?SELL0.972$7.04
05-03 22:01Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?SELL0.998$37.05
04-20 10:25Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?SELL0.994$65.74