PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Xucvao

0xc4cd959697c206172bc69700d2e590cf13080e47

Realised P&L
$-45.30
Volume
$981.44
Markets traded
64
Open portfolio
$3.83

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded64
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample44 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration67.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will SK Beveren win on 2026-10-09? · Yes0.5600.535$2.60−$0.12
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4170.135$1.23−$2.57
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.6100.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET · Down0.0700.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15) · Yes0.2100.000$0.00−$1.00
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026? · No0.6300.000$0.00−$4.78
Will Austria win on 2026-10-04? · Yes0.4600.000$0.00−$3.62
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 4? · Yes0.5600.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes0.3810.000$0.00−$20.00
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08? · Yes0.6470.000$0.00−$1.88
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET · Down0.0090.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET · Up0.5580.000$0.00−$1.34
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" during Miami address? · Yes0.4400.000$0.00−$1.00
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections? · Yes0.5780.000$0.00−$7.78
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-07? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 21:12Will SK Beveren win on 2026-10-09?BUY0.5599999835$2.72
10-02 21:09Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?SELL0.38$2.83
10-02 21:09Will Austria win on 2026-10-04?BUY0.4599999543$3.62
10-02 21:07Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.42$3.82
10-02 21:03Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.4299999867$2.59
08-21 21:09Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.709999737$1.89
08-21 21:00Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETBUY0.3299997822$1.00
08-21 21:00Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?BUY0.6519999651$5.00
08-21 20:54Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-08-21?BUY0.9299998159$5.00
08-21 20:54Will Club Brugge win on 2026-08-23?BUY0.7599999696$5.00
07-18 15:20Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?BUY0.7599999924$4.00
07-18 15:19France vs. England: France O/U 1.5BUY0.619999969$4.00
07-01 21:16Will Belgium reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.08$0.66
06-04 15:41Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?BUY0.55$1.00
06-04 15:39Will Belgium reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.6099999756$5.00