Xucvao
0xc4cd959697c206172bc69700d2e590cf13080e47
- Realised P&L
- $-45.30
- Volume
- $981.44
- Markets traded
- 64
- Open portfolio
- $3.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded64
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.00at 0.370Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?
- +$5.63at 0.630Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$4.85at 0.508Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?
- +$4.10at 0.597Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$3.26at 0.612Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 21:12 | Will SK Beveren win on 2026-10-09? | BUY | 0.5599999835 | $2.72 |
| 10-02 21:09 | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.38 | $2.83 |
| 10-02 21:09 | Will Austria win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.4599999543 | $3.62 |
| 10-02 21:07 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.42 | $3.82 |
| 10-02 21:03 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4299999867 | $2.59 |
| 08-21 21:09 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.709999737 | $1.89 |
| 08-21 21:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET | BUY | 0.3299997822 | $1.00 |
| 08-21 21:00 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August? | BUY | 0.6519999651 | $5.00 |
| 08-21 20:54 | Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-08-21? | BUY | 0.9299998159 | $5.00 |
| 08-21 20:54 | Will Club Brugge win on 2026-08-23? | BUY | 0.7599999696 | $5.00 |
| 07-18 15:20 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July? | BUY | 0.7599999924 | $4.00 |
| 07-18 15:19 | France vs. England: France O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.619999969 | $4.00 |
| 07-01 21:16 | Will Belgium reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.66 |
| 06-04 15:41 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June? | BUY | 0.55 | $1.00 |
| 06-04 15:39 | Will Belgium reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6099999756 | $5.00 |