Cattail
0xc4c1246af95cf0cfe70448f08a1a3655b6e77324
- Realised P&L
- $16.1k
- Volume
- $253.6k
- Markets traded
- 261
- Open portfolio
- $13.7k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded261
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$941.59at 0.282Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?
- +$927.73at 0.666Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
- +$903.00at 0.339Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 5, 2026?
- +$890.38at 0.487Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
- +$688.84at 0.695Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 17:56 | Will Donald Tusk visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $18.96 |
| 09-17 17:55 | Will Donald Tusk visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $16.59 |
| 09-17 17:55 | Will Donald Tusk visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $414.43 |
| 09-17 17:55 | Will Donald Tusk visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $12.85 |
| 09-17 17:55 | Will Donald Tusk visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $52.55 |
| 09-17 10:10 | Will Friedrich Merz visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.45 | $154.81 |
| 09-17 10:05 | Will Russia target Kyiv on September 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.31 | $11.07 |
| 09-17 10:05 | Will Russia target Kyiv on September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $6.80 |
| 09-17 10:05 | Will Russia target Kyiv on September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.2880308339 | $12.33 |
| 09-17 10:05 | Will Russia target Kyiv on September 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $82.78 |
| 09-17 10:04 | Will Russia target Kyiv on September 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.59 |
| 09-17 03:26 | Will Friedrich Merz visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.42 | $10.50 |
| 09-16 16:37 | Will Russia target Kyiv on September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.35 | $7.00 |
| 09-16 11:26 | Will Russia target Kyiv on September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.45 | $9.00 |
| 09-16 11:26 | Will Russia target Kyiv on September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.33 | $3.03 |