Cattail
0xc4c1246af95cf0cfe70448f08a1a3655b6e77324
- Realised P&L
- $15.1k
- Volume
- $332.0k
- Markets traded
- 341
- Open portfolio
- $9.8k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded341
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.0kat 0.183Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?
- +$941.59at 0.282Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?
- +$903.00at 0.339Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 5, 2026?
- +$890.38at 0.487Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
- +$882.82at 0.821Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 11:20 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in November? | BUY | 0.87 | $4.35 |
| 11-01 11:18 | Will Melania Trump visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $17.20 |
| 11-01 06:59 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? | BUY | 0.86 | $32.68 |
| 10-31 07:11 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in November? | BUY | 0.86 | $269.52 |
| 10-31 07:11 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in November? | BUY | 0.78 | $234.00 |
| 10-31 07:11 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in November? | BUY | 0.78 | $7.80 |
| 10-31 05:59 | Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $182.24 |
| 10-31 05:57 | Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $262.92 |
| 10-31 05:57 | Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $5.67 |
| 10-30 21:05 | Will António Guterres visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $55.71 |
| 10-30 21:05 | Will António Guterres visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $24.36 |
| 10-30 21:05 | Will António Guterres visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $40.52 |
| 10-30 21:04 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | BUY | 0.92 | $51.52 |
| 10-30 21:03 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? | BUY | 0.87 | $124.41 |
| 10-30 21:03 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | BUY | 0.919 | $49.30 |