PolyBot

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Traders

Cattail

0xc4c1246af95cf0cfe70448f08a1a3655b6e77324

Realised P&L
$15.1k
Volume
$332.0k
Markets traded
341
Open portfolio
$9.8k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded341
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31? · No0.8570.993$2.5k+$339.49
Will Emmanuel Macron visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? · No0.7460.895$893.09+$148.88
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in November? · No0.8030.775$731.80−$26.09
Will Mark Carney visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? · No0.7880.915$482.56+$66.97
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026? · No0.5990.825$369.58+$101.14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in November? · No0.8640.870$358.86+$2.39
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? · Yes0.8400.845$351.63+$2.22
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.8700.954$330.08+$29.06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November? · No0.8990.938$296.60+$12.35
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping by October 31? · No0.8710.996$292.88+$36.69
US imports Russian diesel before Russia x Ukraine peace talks? · Yes0.6880.415$270.14−$177.54
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6400.705$243.66+$22.46
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.6600.715$242.38+$18.65
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? · No0.8011.000$232.54+$46.16
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy by November 30, 2026? · No0.8110.855$200.91+$10.27

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 11:20Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in November?BUY0.87$4.35
11-01 11:18Will Melania Trump visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?BUY0.86$17.20
11-01 06:59US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?BUY0.86$32.68
10-31 07:11Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in November?BUY0.86$269.52
10-31 07:11Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in November?BUY0.78$234.00
10-31 07:11Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in November?BUY0.78$7.80
10-31 05:59Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy by November 30, 2026?BUY0.81$182.24
10-31 05:57Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?BUY0.84$262.92
10-31 05:57Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?BUY0.83$5.67
10-30 21:05Will António Guterres visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?BUY0.89$55.71
10-30 21:05Will António Guterres visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?BUY0.88$24.36
10-30 21:05Will António Guterres visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?BUY0.87$40.52
10-30 21:04US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?BUY0.92$51.52
10-30 21:03US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?BUY0.87$124.41
10-30 21:03US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?BUY0.919$49.30