YouAreMyExitLiqudity
0xc4b6a831ecf5a40a7cb272e20d568fa54c0841a7
- Realised P&L
- $-8.5k
- Volume
- $659.7k
- Markets traded
- 294
- Open portfolio
- $2.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded294
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? · No | 0.457 | 0.310 | $1.5k | −$703.43 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.113 | 0.085 | $318.35 | −$106.25 |
| Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? · Yes | 0.238 | 0.210 | $211.82 | −$28.18 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.085 | $106.96 | −$44.04 |
| Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? · Yes | 0.156 | 0.013 | $3.36 | −$38.64 |
| Will Blagomir Kotsev win the next Bulgarian presidential election? · Yes | 0.091 | 0.002 | $0.12 | −$6.88 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.088 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$98.00 |
| Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$199.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.570Will Usyk beat Fury?
- +$1.4kat 0.330Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
- +$1.2kat 0.893Will AfD win the second most seats in the next German election?
- +$1.1kat 0.443Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Paris?
- +$793.56at 0.788Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 06:55 | Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2099999964 | $40.00 |
| 08-03 06:54 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3244694697 | $310.00 |
| 08-03 06:54 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3 | $9.00 |
| 08-01 17:06 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.29 | $43.50 |
| 07-31 20:03 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2899999961 | $50.00 |
| 07-31 20:03 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3020461947 | $110.00 |
| 07-31 20:01 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2774566474 | $84.00 |
| 07-31 20:01 | Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.239120753 | $100.00 |
| 07-31 20:00 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.25 | $68.00 |
| 07-15 06:52 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | SELL | 0.5731592 | $143.29 |
| 07-02 14:50 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999997 | $273.11 |
| 07-02 09:39 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $151.50 |
| 07-02 09:39 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999993 | $151.00 |
| 07-02 09:38 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | SELL | 0.5402817321 | $308.18 |
| 05-21 09:22 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.3118195979 | $361.34 |