YouAreMyExitLiqudity
0xc4b6a831ecf5a40a7cb272e20d568fa54c0841a7
- Realised P&L
- $-7.6k
- Volume
- $660.5k
- Markets traded
- 294
- Open portfolio
- $125.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded294
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.113 | 0.017 | $63.67 | −$360.94 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.022 | $28.31 | −$122.69 |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? · No | 0.284 | 0.002 | $27.89 | −$3.9k |
| Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? · Yes | 0.196 | 0.001 | $5.58 | −$2.2k |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.088 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$98.00 |
| Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? · Yes | 0.156 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$42.00 |
| Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$199.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.570Will Usyk beat Fury?
- +$1.4kat 0.330Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
- +$1.2kat 0.893Will AfD win the second most seats in the next German election?
- +$1.1kat 0.443Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Paris?
- +$793.56at 0.788Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 06:50 | Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 10-05 06:43 | Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.11 | $245.73 |
| 10-05 06:43 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.12 | $230.00 |
| 10-01 14:03 | Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.16 | $16.45 |
| 09-28 16:31 | Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.180402157 | $928.81 |
| 09-28 16:30 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1763810316 | $1000.00 |
| 09-22 09:00 | Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2999999894 | $5.65 |
| 09-22 08:59 | Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2646950696 | $480.00 |
| 09-22 08:52 | Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2599999998 | $26.63 |
| 09-16 06:12 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.25 | $31.69 |
| 09-13 08:40 | Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.375824173 | $45.00 |
| 09-13 08:36 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4051383388 | $100.00 |
| 09-13 08:35 | Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3382658796 | $200.00 |
| 08-04 08:52 | Will Blagomir Kotsev win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.08 |
| 08-03 11:52 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3293413158 | $100.00 |