0xc4b404cc3ca26d2ebb137ba1bd5a6e12e1f14ab8
0xc4b404cc3ca26d2ebb137ba1bd5a6e12e1f14ab8
- Realised P&L
- $-10.13
- Volume
- $35.9k
- Markets traded
- 121
- Open portfolio
- $181.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded121
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$140.33at 0.126Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?
- +$89.45at 0.105Real Betis Balompié leading at halftime?
- +$66.86at 0.191Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees
- +$25.61at 0.290Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Klim Sani4 - Game 1 Winner
- +$21.81at 0.324Dota 2: Level UP vs Team Lynx (BO3) - EPL Masters Group A
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 16:28 | Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-10-15? | BUY | 0.269999993 | $10.00 |
| 10-15 16:28 | Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Beşiktaş JK end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $10.00 |
| 10-02 17:35 | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Sweden end in a draw? | BUY | 0.269999993 | $10.00 |
| 10-02 17:33 | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.3499999948 | $10.00 |
| 10-02 15:13 | Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group B | BUY | 0.99 | $10.00 |
| 10-01 09:01 | Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.330999993 | $10.00 |
| 09-29 14:18 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5929999792 | $10.00 |
| 09-29 14:07 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.599999988 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 17:54 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.5659999847 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 08:06 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4239999939 | $10.00 |
| 09-27 22:44 | Rams vs. Broncos | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $10.00 |
| 09-25 08:43 | Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.629999995 | $10.00 |
| 09-24 13:16 | Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.629999995 | $10.00 |
| 09-24 13:15 | Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.629999995 | $10.00 |
| 09-24 03:48 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999989 | $10.00 |