PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xc4b404cc3ca26d2ebb137ba1bd5a6e12e1f14ab8

0xc4b404cc3ca26d2ebb137ba1bd5a6e12e1f14ab8

Realised P&L
$-10.13
Volume
$35.9k
Markets traded
121
Open portfolio
$181.27

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded121
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Sweden end in a draw? · Yes0.2701.000$37.04+$27.04
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-10-15? · Yes0.2701.000$37.02+$27.02
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.3311.000$30.21+$20.21
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5930.768$12.95+$2.95
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.6000.765$12.75+$2.75
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.5660.713$12.60+$2.60
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1400.165$11.79+$1.79
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3400.385$11.32+$1.32
Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group B · 1win0.9901.000$10.10+$0.10
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.4240.232$5.47−$4.53
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Beşiktaş JK end in a draw? · Yes0.2500.001$0.02−$9.98
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Team Lynx - Game 2 Winner · Team Lynx0.4800.000$0.00−$10.00
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-18.5) · Minnesota Lynx0.5200.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September? · Yes0.4500.000$0.00−$10.00
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs · LGD Gaming0.3700.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 16:28Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-10-15?BUY0.269999993$10.00
10-15 16:28Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Beşiktaş JK end in a draw?BUY0.25$10.00
10-02 17:35Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Sweden end in a draw?BUY0.269999993$10.00
10-02 17:33Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.3499999948$10.00
10-02 15:13Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group BBUY0.99$10.00
10-01 09:01Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.330999993$10.00
09-29 14:18Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.5929999792$10.00
09-29 14:07Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.599999988$10.00
09-28 17:54Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.5659999847$10.00
09-28 08:06Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.4239999939$10.00
09-27 22:44Rams vs. BroncosBUY0.5099999776$10.00
09-25 08:43Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.629999995$10.00
09-24 13:16Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.629999995$10.00
09-24 13:15Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.629999995$10.00
09-24 03:48Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1399999989$10.00