peshkata
0xc48e6711da028adf55f7a513abc94faddfd26590
- Realised P&L
- $-234.37
- Volume
- $18.1k
- Markets traded
- 542
- Open portfolio
- $19.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded542
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.54at 0.048Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
- +$12.45at 0.217Will the price of Solana be above $80 on February 28?
- +$9.00at 0.100Bitcoin Up or Down on April 29?
- +$6.69at 0.130Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $102,000 on November 8?
- +$4.94at 0.150Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 16:20 | Turkish troops enter Yemen by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0449999984 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 12:38 | US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 13:13 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 11:36 | BNB Up or Down on October 4? | BUY | 0.0899999928 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 11:36 | BNB Up or Down on October 4? | BUY | 0.0899999928 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 16:18 | HYPE Up or Down on October 4? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 16:18 | Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.65 | $2.70 |
| 09-30 15:19 | BNB Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.0519999979 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 06:34 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 12:46 | Solana Up or Down on September 27? | BUY | 0.0489999982 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 15:01 | HYPE Up or Down on September 22? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 12:29 | Ethereum Up or Down on September 21? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 12:08 | U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? | BUY | 0.1799999856 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 15:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 14? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 15:28 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.38 |