PolyBot

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Traders

0xC48c012Eb7dBD214b30d4d1604FFe64E92f6f469-1775853453178

0xc48c012eb7dbd214b30d4d1604ffe64e92f6f469

Realised P&L
$-185.69
Volume
$15.2k
Markets traded
131
Open portfolio
$111.08

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded131
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass? · Yes0.2400.550$22.92+$12.92
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? · Yes0.1500.175$11.67+$1.67
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.3900.385$9.87−$0.13
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? · Yes0.2200.265$9.64+$1.64
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? · Yes0.3600.345$9.58−$0.42
Modi out by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0710.052$7.32−$2.68
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? · Yes0.0800.045$7.31−$5.69
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0270.036$5.41+$1.41
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes0.0700.065$4.64−$0.36
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0230.035$4.63+$1.63
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · No0.3500.140$4.00−$6.00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.0310.046$3.00+$1.00
Will Trump and Putin not meet? · Yes0.6400.190$2.97−$7.03
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0100.009$2.85−$0.15
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0020.002$2.25−$0.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 09:07Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETBUY0.2099999949$7.79
10-11 09:05Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.3899999945$10.00
10-11 09:04Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.0309999995$2.00
10-11 09:03Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0269999998$4.00
10-11 09:03Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?BUY0.0699999994$5.00
10-11 09:02Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?BUY0.1499999993$10.00
10-11 08:59Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?BUY0.08$5.00
10-11 08:59Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?BUY0.08$8.00
10-11 08:57Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?BUY0.2199999962$8.00
10-11 08:54Modi out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0709999997$10.00
10-11 08:53US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?BUY0.3599999971$10.00
10-11 08:50Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.002$3.00
10-11 08:49Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.0229999999$3.00
10-11 08:48Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.01$3.00
10-11 08:48Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.001$3.00