0xC48c012Eb7dBD214b30d4d1604FFe64E92f6f469-1775853453178
0xc48c012eb7dbd214b30d4d1604ffe64e92f6f469
- Realised P&L
- $-185.69
- Volume
- $15.2k
- Markets traded
- 131
- Open portfolio
- $111.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded131
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$77.22at 0.166Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$51.43at 0.280Spain snap election called in 2026?
- +$29.58at 0.336Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
- +$22.72at 0.306Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
- +$15.80at 0.388Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 09:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET | BUY | 0.2099999949 | $7.79 |
| 10-11 09:05 | Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.3899999945 | $10.00 |
| 10-11 09:04 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.0309999995 | $2.00 |
| 10-11 09:03 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0269999998 | $4.00 |
| 10-11 09:03 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999994 | $5.00 |
| 10-11 09:02 | Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? | BUY | 0.1499999993 | $10.00 |
| 10-11 08:59 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |
| 10-11 08:59 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $8.00 |
| 10-11 08:57 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? | BUY | 0.2199999962 | $8.00 |
| 10-11 08:54 | Modi out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0709999997 | $10.00 |
| 10-11 08:53 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? | BUY | 0.3599999971 | $10.00 |
| 10-11 08:50 | Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.002 | $3.00 |
| 10-11 08:49 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0229999999 | $3.00 |
| 10-11 08:48 | Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.01 | $3.00 |
| 10-11 08:48 | Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.001 | $3.00 |