pizda1
0xc48526beac5dd8444a60e9c9e8666a3f970cc2a2
- Realised P&L
- $-3.9k
- Volume
- $60.8k
- Markets traded
- 40
- Open portfolio
- $7.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded40
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)77.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.232Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?
- +$1.1kat 0.637US forces enter Iran by April 30?
- +$701.43at 0.781Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
- +$525.00at 0.160US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$208.30at 0.793Will gas hit (High) $4.00 by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-13 20:34 | Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 6, 2026? | SELL | 0.935 | $143.81 |
| 04-13 20:31 | Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April? | BUY | 0.3030347543 | $200.00 |
| 04-13 20:31 | Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? | BUY | 0.134748562 | $100.00 |
| 04-13 20:30 | Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026? | BUY | 0.2092145346 | $100.00 |
| 04-13 20:29 | Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026? | BUY | 0.471143908 | $100.00 |
| 04-13 20:24 | Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0406357796 | $100.00 |
| 04-13 20:24 | Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1952084143 | $100.00 |
| 04-13 20:22 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | BUY | 0.6699999989 | $500.00 |
| 04-13 20:22 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st? | BUY | 0.8499999999 | $500.00 |
| 04-13 20:20 | Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? | BUY | 0.4482411015 | $300.00 |
| 04-13 20:17 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April? | BUY | 0.5216643256 | $480.87 |
| 04-13 20:17 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April? | BUY | 0.8474136904 | $493.90 |
| 04-13 20:16 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April? | BUY | 0.4204179409 | $476.82 |
| 04-13 20:13 | Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 6, 2026? | SELL | 0.9365474937 | $96.03 |
| 04-13 20:12 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.77 | $520.27 |