PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xc47a2336c8123de6968ddac9feb068c4b9537a12

Realised P&L
$-5.82
Volume
$3.2k
Markets traded
618
Open portfolio
$65.01

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded618
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Timothy Rathjen win the next Braunschweig mayoral election? · No0.9991.000$5.27+$0.00
Will Max Wieland win the next Braunschweig mayoral election? · No0.9990.985$5.20$0.07
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.985$5.06$0.07
Will João de Deus Mendes win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.985$5.06$0.07
Will João Bernardo Vieira win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.984$5.05$0.08
Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.984$5.05$0.08
Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.974$5.00$0.13
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · No0.9990.970$4.98$0.15
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 10PM ET · Up0.9991.000$4.95+$0.00
Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · No0.9990.959$4.92$0.21
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 17? · Yes0.9970.992$4.92$0.03
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · No0.9990.934$4.80$0.33
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026? · No0.9980.985$4.75$0.06
Will Mike Derry win the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election? · Yes0.9880.000$0.00$5.22
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8PM ET · Down0.9800.000$0.00$5.21

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 02:56Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 10PM ETBUY0.999$4.95
09-18 01:58BNB Up or Down - September 17, 9PM ETBUY0.999$4.95
09-17 23:56Israel military action against Lebanon on September 17?BUY0.9969999996$4.95
09-17 21:56Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 5PM ETBUY0.99$4.94
09-17 20:57Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 4PM ETBUY0.9889999998$4.94
09-17 10:57Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 6AM ETBUY0.999$4.94
09-17 10:56Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 6AM ETBUY0.999$4.94
09-17 08:57Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 4AM ETBUY0.999$4.93
09-17 07:56Solana Up or Down - September 17, 3AM ETBUY0.9969999996$4.94
09-17 06:59Will Amber Glenn be eliminated in week 1 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?BUY0.998$4.93
09-17 04:58Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 12AM ETBUY0.9989999868$4.93
09-16 14:57Dogecoin Up or Down - September 16, 10AM ETBUY0.999$4.97
09-16 13:57Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 9AM ETBUY0.998$4.97
09-16 05:57Solana Up or Down - September 16, 1AM ETBUY0.9389999987$4.96
09-16 04:56Dogecoin Up or Down - September 16, 12AM ETBUY0.99$0.77