sionnach
0xc46d3ab294873631016166bef6a8e6e701ce87d9
- Realised P&L
- $-506.37
- Volume
- $65.9k
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $242.73
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration69.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Israel (-2.5) · Israel | 0.063 | 0.065 | $151.39 | +$4.29 |
| Exact Score: Israel 3 - 0 Republic of Ireland? · Yes | 0.049 | 0.028 | $88.36 | −$66.52 |
| Will Israel win on 2026-09-27? · Yes | 0.355 | 0.375 | $2.99 | +$0.16 |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$55.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$128.69at 0.166Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$10.57at 0.775The Polymarket Open: Big John vs. Cheddy
- +$9.25at 0.632Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5
- +$8.07at 0.789Borja Mayoral: Anytime Goalscorer
- +$4.97at 0.468Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 1.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 11:51 | Will Israel win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.3799999448 | $1.79 |
| 09-26 11:51 | Exact Score: Israel 3 - 0 Republic of Ireland? | BUY | 0.0490815909 | $154.88 |
| 09-26 09:30 | Will Israel win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.04 |
| 09-26 09:29 | Spread: Israel (-2.5) | BUY | 0.0652116918 | $92.03 |
| 09-26 09:22 | Spread: Israel (-2.5) | BUY | 0.06 | $55.07 |
| 06-07 17:13 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0269999995 | $55.04 |
| 06-07 17:11 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1619999953 | $25.00 |
| 06-07 17:10 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.04 | $25.00 |
| 05-31 19:02 | The Polymarket Open: Big John vs. Cheddy | SELL | 0.1138888889 | $8.20 |
| 05-31 17:58 | The Polymarket Open: Big John vs. Cheddy | BUY | 0.17 | $10.20 |
| 05-31 17:38 | The Polymarket Open: Big John vs. Cheddy | SELL | 0.1043531202 | $13.71 |
| 05-31 17:28 | The Polymarket Open: Big John vs. Cheddy | BUY | 0.1300527791 | $17.09 |
| 05-31 17:10 | The Polymarket Open: Big John vs. Cheddy | SELL | 0.8560463422 | $117.48 |
| 05-31 17:04 | The Polymarket Open: Big John vs. Cheddy | BUY | 0.7699999997 | $105.68 |
| 05-28 21:29 | Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.494 | $2.47 |