Lemonn
0xc4400b72151291a6d737d5a7485453d63e526149
- Realised P&L
- $838.12
- Volume
- $115.4k
- Markets traded
- 443
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded443
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$567.47at 0.115US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$201.72at 0.710Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?
- +$143.20at 0.170Bitcoin Up or Down on February 6?
- +$119.52at 0.022Will the highest temperature in London be between 56-57°F on November 14?
- +$108.35at 0.172Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on December 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 06:45 | Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15? | BUY | 0.08 | $8.08 |
| 10-03 13:26 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.037 | $2.96 |
| 10-03 13:26 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.01 | $3.22 |
| 09-27 16:06 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | SELL | 0.8406855556 | $151.32 |
| 09-15 12:49 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.57 | $102.60 |
| 09-14 11:55 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on September 14? | SELL | 0.196 | $12.36 |
| 09-13 20:30 | US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Shelton | SELL | 0.885921 | $177.18 |
| 09-13 19:19 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on September 14? | BUY | 0.154 | $3.08 |
| 09-13 18:57 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on September 14? | BUY | 0.1 | $15.00 |
| 09-12 20:52 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.053 | $13.25 |
| 09-12 20:52 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | BUY | 0.16 | $16.00 |
| 08-23 18:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 08-23 18:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |
| 08-23 18:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET | BUY | 0.4199999832 | $5.00 |
| 08-23 18:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |