PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Lemonn

0xc4400b72151291a6d737d5a7485453d63e526149

Realised P&L
$838.12
Volume
$115.4k
Markets traded
443
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded443
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration97.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9030.978$1.1k+$81.95
Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15? · Yes0.0800.145$14.64+$6.57
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 10, 2026? · Yes0.0220.031$5.58+$1.52
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? · Yes0.1600.055$5.50−$10.50
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 9, 2026? · Yes0.0100.006$1.94−$1.28
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · Yes0.1230.001$0.23−$55.02
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.4250.000$0.00−$40.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET · Up0.1550.000$0.00−$22.52
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 5? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$1.20
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET · Down0.2700.000$0.00−$5.00
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$22.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET · Up0.1150.000$0.00−$10.00
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 23? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$3.76
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 9? · Yes0.1010.000$0.00−$65.89

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 06:45Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?BUY0.08$8.08
10-03 13:26Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 10, 2026?BUY0.037$2.96
10-03 13:26Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 9, 2026?BUY0.01$3.22
09-27 16:06Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?SELL0.8406855556$151.32
09-15 12:49Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.57$102.60
09-14 11:55S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on September 14?SELL0.196$12.36
09-13 20:30US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben SheltonSELL0.885921$177.18
09-13 19:19S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on September 14?BUY0.154$3.08
09-13 18:57S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on September 14?BUY0.1$15.00
09-12 20:52Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?BUY0.053$13.25
09-12 20:52Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?BUY0.16$16.00
08-23 18:33Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETBUY0.01$5.00
08-23 18:31Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETBUY0.16$5.00
08-23 18:30Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETBUY0.4199999832$5.00
08-23 18:24Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETBUY0.01$5.00