jdov
0xc40825b097c09daaad2c19de559809dd8908aaa4
- Realised P&L
- $-20.97
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $14.17
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes | 0.238 | 0.122 | $5.13 | −$4.87 |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.058 | 0.058 | $4.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? · Yes | 0.103 | 0.042 | $4.09 | −$5.91 |
| Will Yariv Levin win the 2026 Likud party primary elections? · Yes | 0.117 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET · Up | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.01at 0.999Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
- +$-5.11at 0.480Will Amir Ohana win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-19 19:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 08-19 19:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 08-16 17:20 | Will Yariv Levin win the 2026 Likud party primary elections? | BUY | 0.1175298622 | $5.00 |
| 08-16 16:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 08-16 16:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 08-14 04:10 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.237999986 | $10.00 |
| 08-14 04:07 | Will Amir Ohana win the 2026 Likud party primary elections? | BUY | 0.4699999887 | $5.00 |
| 08-14 04:05 | Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? | BUY | 0.1027408002 | $10.00 |
| 08-14 03:57 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.0579999894 | $5.00 |