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0xc40284197870db8580e5aca66356daa25bbb51b3
- Realised P&L
- $-779.17
- Volume
- $25.3k
- Markets traded
- 237
- Open portfolio
- $335.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded237
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$41.60at 0.582Will Kosovo vs. Republic of Ireland end in a draw?
- +$40.01at 0.040Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Egypt?
- +$39.21at 0.218Will FC Dallas win on 2026-08-08?
- +$24.39at 0.757Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 13?
- +$24.32at 0.517Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 2.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 06:54 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? | BUY | 0.52 | $14.04 |
| 10-03 12:25 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October? | SELL | 0.49 | $24.50 |
| 10-03 06:12 | Will Hyperliquid reach $100 in October? | BUY | 0.5 | $15.00 |
| 10-03 04:27 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.19 | $10.07 |
| 10-02 14:52 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October? | BUY | 0.55 | $27.50 |
| 10-02 11:37 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? | BUY | 0.27 | $13.50 |
| 10-01 21:06 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? | BUY | 0.25 | $12.50 |
| 10-01 17:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? | BUY | 0.23 | $11.27 |
| 09-29 17:13 | Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.071 | $3.55 |
| 09-29 02:51 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.40 |
| 09-28 03:46 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | SELL | 0.029 | $0.29 |
| 09-28 03:45 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | SELL | 0.028 | $1.40 |
| 09-28 03:36 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | SELL | 0.031 | $1.55 |
| 09-28 03:27 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.67 | $33.50 |
| 09-28 02:35 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.67 | $33.50 |