PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

uuuuuuuuuop

0xc40284197870db8580e5aca66356daa25bbb51b3

Realised P&L
$-779.17
Volume
$25.3k
Markets traded
237
Open portfolio
$335.62

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded237
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No0.9300.956$178.32+$4.85
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? · No0.9410.962$47.82+$1.04
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? · Yes0.5200.665$17.95+$3.92
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · No0.6700.175$17.50−$49.50
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? · Yes0.2400.175$17.32−$6.44
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 in October? · Yes0.5000.540$16.20+$1.20
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.0470.042$12.45−$1.65
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? · Yes0.2700.245$12.25−$1.25
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.2600.205$10.42−$2.80
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.2190.041$2.49−$10.97
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · Yes0.0600.044$2.22−$0.81
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · Yes0.0210.013$0.67−$0.37
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5 · Over0.0500.000$0.00−$2.28
Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? · Yes0.0690.000$0.00−$1.38
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 8? · Up0.1900.000$0.00−$1.45

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 06:54Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?BUY0.52$14.04
10-03 12:25Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?SELL0.49$24.50
10-03 06:12Will Hyperliquid reach $100 in October?BUY0.5$15.00
10-03 04:27Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?SELL0.19$10.07
10-02 14:52Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?BUY0.55$27.50
10-02 11:37Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?BUY0.27$13.50
10-01 21:06Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?BUY0.25$12.50
10-01 17:45Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?BUY0.23$11.27
09-29 17:13Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?SELL0.071$3.55
09-29 02:51Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?SELL0.004$0.40
09-28 03:46Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?SELL0.029$0.29
09-28 03:45Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?SELL0.028$1.40
09-28 03:36Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?SELL0.031$1.55
09-28 03:27Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.67$33.50
09-28 02:35Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.67$33.50