PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

flippon

0xc3cdce7311e82cb064a12bdca9a06b88c4a6980e

Realised P&L
$698.84
Volume
$3.8k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$560.28

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar18.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration94.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 22:57Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 9?BUY0.2057215635$100.00
10-08 10:52Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 8?BUY0.4199999966$10.00
10-07 23:59Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 8?BUY0.8316097804$200.00
10-07 23:15Will Ariel Pakes win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?BUY0.2$10.00
10-07 23:10Will Ewan Cameron finish third in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?BUY0.4399999947$20.00
10-07 23:01Will the Labour Party candidate win 40-45% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?BUY0.3799999982$50.00
10-07 22:35Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?BUY0.1082677165$50.00
10-07 21:19Will the Labour Party candidate win 45-50% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?BUY0.3546325862$30.00
10-07 21:15Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.8469999959$100.00
10-07 07:10Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?SELL0.9596470504$671.52
10-06 23:02Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?SELL0.955$10.29
10-06 22:56Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?BUY0.17$29.92
10-06 22:49Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?SELL0.97$23.48
10-05 23:19Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?BUY0.0816599656$60.00
10-04 20:14Will the Labour Party candidate win 45-50% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?BUY0.4330257034$80.00