BoredViking
0xc3c32560dcc9cd69b57865a0d7187e37eeb7c5c5
- Realised P&L
- $-7.57
- Volume
- $3.3k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.37at 0.800Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?
- +$4.75at 0.470Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?
- +$3.82at 0.037Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?
- +$1.45at 0.066Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
- +$0.40at 0.850Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 21:00 | Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | BUY | 0.995 | $99.50 |
| 10-10 18:31 | Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | BUY | 0.995 | $19.90 |
| 10-10 01:14 | Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | BUY | 0.99 | $36.66 |
| 10-07 17:01 | Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | BUY | 0.939 | $32.86 |
| 10-06 17:27 | Will Arruda win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.999 | $39.96 |
| 10-06 04:12 | Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | BUY | 0.928 | $41.68 |
| 10-06 01:34 | Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | BUY | 0.966 | $5.31 |
| 10-06 01:31 | Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | BUY | 0.968 | $21.30 |
| 10-04 12:31 | Will Deltan Dallagnol win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election? | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $10.00 |
| 10-04 11:48 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.38 | $11.40 |
| 10-04 11:43 | Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | SELL | 0.81 | $4.04 |
| 09-30 13:11 | Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | BUY | 0.815 | $4.07 |
| 09-29 17:00 | Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? | BUY | 0.72 | $18.00 |
| 09-29 16:54 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | SELL | 0.23 | $18.40 |
| 09-29 00:27 | Will Arruda win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.992 | $39.68 |