PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

zojmma

0xc3be70a37b9dfbd193017fd0c5d274a9a0c50e17

Realised P&L
$-392.41
Volume
$128.3k
Markets traded
338
Open portfolio
$289.82

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded338
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration48.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2640.145$164.73−$135.27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.5900.520$52.88−$7.12
Anthropic IPO before 2027? · Yes0.6300.815$12.94+$2.94
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.7800.925$11.86+$1.86
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027? · No0.9200.948$9.47+$0.28
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? · Yes0.8500.968$4.84+$0.59
Stripe IPO before 2027? · Yes0.1380.036$4.01−$11.18
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes0.1700.065$3.82−$6.18
Waymo IPO before 2027? · Yes0.0610.022$3.60−$6.40
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027? · Yes0.1000.030$3.00−$7.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.2100.034$2.87−$15.13
Databricks IPO before 2027? · Yes0.1860.038$2.79−$10.71
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8800.955$2.17+$0.17
Discord IPO before 2027? · Yes0.5600.106$1.90−$8.10
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0160.027$1.89+$0.77

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-05 15:04Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?BUY0.5899999974$60.00
08-25 11:19Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2640669894$300.00
08-22 20:44Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?SELL0.143104088$360.98
07-19 19:59Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3929999899$20.00
07-19 19:58Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL0.94$22.93
07-03 21:01Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027?BUY0.0353461543$2.00
07-03 21:01Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon before 2027?BUY0.2099999286$2.00
07-03 21:01Will Trump pardon Roger Ver before 2027?BUY0.1499998875$1.00
07-03 21:01Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027?BUY0.16$1.00
07-03 20:59Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027?BUY0.1569999773$5.00
07-03 20:59Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?BUY0.0230769186$5.00
07-02 21:36Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?BUY0.5799999861$10.00
06-17 06:32Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0449999575$1.00
06-04 01:45Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?BUY0.2099999925$18.00
06-04 01:45Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?BUY0.0229999944$4.00