davibk
0xc3a78aaa96b42a17b4820b72bba30239f719bbea
- Realised P&L
- $15.36
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 62
- Open portfolio
- $1.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded62
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.188 | 0.115 | $1.84 | −$1.16 |
| Exact Score: CR Vasco da Gama 1 - 1 Clube do Remo? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$1.99 |
| Will Orleans Brandão win the Governor of Maranhão election? · Yes | 0.084 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.39 |
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Czechia? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.29at 0.305Will FC Supra Du Quebec win on 2026-10-10?
- +$8.91at 0.268Exact Score: Manchester United FC 1 - 1 Tottenham Hotspur FC?
- +$7.30at 0.100Exact Score: Sunderland AFC 0 - 2 Brighton & Hove Albion FC?
- +$3.22at 0.402Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-10?
- +$2.31at 0.677Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 01:04 | Will Club ABB win on 2026-10-10? | SELL | 0.0880032013 | $2.20 |
| 10-11 01:01 | Will CDP Junior FC win on 2026-10-10? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.32 |
| 10-11 00:48 | Will Club ABB win on 2026-10-10? | SELL | 0.08 | $3.60 |
| 10-11 00:43 | Will Internacional de Bogotá win on 2026-10-10? | SELL | 0.13 | $2.60 |
| 10-11 00:39 | Will Internacional de Bogotá win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.09 | $2.70 |
| 10-11 00:38 | Will Internacional de Bogotá win on 2026-10-10? | SELL | 0.0341265475 | $1.24 |
| 10-11 00:33 | Will Club ABB win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.40 |
| 10-11 00:32 | Will Internacional de Bogotá win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.22 | $5.00 |
| 10-11 00:17 | Will Internacional de Bogotá win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.22 | $3.00 |
| 10-11 00:14 | Will CD Oriente Petrolero win on 2026-10-10? | SELL | 0.59 | $8.76 |
| 10-11 00:12 | Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.62 | $4.00 |
| 10-11 00:10 | Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.62 | $4.00 |
| 10-11 00:06 | Will CD Oriente Petrolero win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.64 | $5.00 |
| 10-11 00:05 | Will CA Tigre vs. CA Banfield end in a draw? | SELL | 0.11 | $1.43 |
| 10-10 23:55 | Will CA Tigre vs. CA Banfield end in a draw? | BUY | 0.23 | $3.00 |