PolyBot

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Traders

farzor

0xc39e2210edf66a33ecb4c1614a29d20b69ea5b78

Realised P&L
$34.07
Volume
$356.71
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$32.93

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar9.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration54.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · No0.6600.605$13.76$1.24
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0900.095$10.56+$0.56
Will Lionel Messi rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026? · Yes0.5900.520$4.41$0.59
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? · No0.8600.725$4.22$0.78
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$2.50
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.4220.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 01:53Will Lionel Messi rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026?BUY0.5899999705$5.00
09-17 01:38Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?SELL0.015$0.15
09-17 01:38Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.0899999993$10.00
09-14 15:54Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?BUY0.86$5.00
09-14 15:45US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.64$5.00
09-12 02:12Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.78$17.16
09-10 03:00US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.6699999839$10.00
09-03 00:54Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?BUY0.25$2.50
09-01 03:16Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?BUY0.69$6.90
08-29 22:49Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.45$9.90
07-16 01:15Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.4219999839$10.00
07-15 01:10Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.4669999802$10.00
05-16 02:02Evo Morales arrested by May 31?BUY0.8099999981$29.74
10-17 03:22Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?BUY0.4489999928$13.76
10-17 03:17Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?BUY0.4479999808$9.90