farzor
0xc39e2210edf66a33ecb4c1614a29d20b69ea5b78
- Realised P&L
- $34.07
- Volume
- $356.71
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $32.93
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar9.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.660 | 0.605 | $13.76 | −$1.24 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.095 | $10.56 | +$0.56 |
| Will Lionel Messi rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.520 | $4.41 | −$0.59 |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.860 | 0.725 | $4.22 | −$0.78 |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.50 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.422 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.08at 0.449Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
- +$11.15at 0.479Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- +$6.80at 0.462Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$6.75at 0.816Evo Morales arrested by May 31?
- +$-6.84at 0.699Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 01:53 | Will Lionel Messi rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026? | BUY | 0.5899999705 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 01:38 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.015 | $0.15 |
| 09-17 01:38 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.0899999993 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 15:54 | Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 15:45 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $5.00 |
| 09-12 02:12 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.78 | $17.16 |
| 09-10 03:00 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999839 | $10.00 |
| 09-03 00:54 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.50 |
| 09-01 03:16 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.69 | $6.90 |
| 08-29 22:49 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.45 | $9.90 |
| 07-16 01:15 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4219999839 | $10.00 |
| 07-15 01:10 | Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.4669999802 | $10.00 |
| 05-16 02:02 | Evo Morales arrested by May 31? | BUY | 0.8099999981 | $29.74 |
| 10-17 03:22 | Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? | BUY | 0.4489999928 | $13.76 |
| 10-17 03:17 | Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? | BUY | 0.4479999808 | $9.90 |