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Traders

magicbed

0xc37be87e51c77b42a8651402ca608d748d299b85

Realised P&L
$-495.16
Volume
$227.6k
Markets traded
348
Open portfolio
$587.48

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded348
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration55.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration80.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.7700.961$470.64+$93.34
Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election? · No0.5601.000$36.83+$16.21
Will MrBeast get married by December 31? · Yes0.3801.000$20.00+$12.40
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026? · Yes0.6100.095$17.42$94.44
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? · Yes0.4101.000$14.23+$8.40
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027? · No0.8700.925$8.60+$0.51
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4900.290$5.80$4.00
Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027? · No0.9100.972$4.79+$0.30
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by March 31? · No0.9471.000$3.92+$0.21
Don Lemon sentenced to prison? · Yes0.1000.049$3.43$3.57
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by March 31? · No0.8901.000$1.14+$0.13
US strike on Colombia by December 31? · Yes0.1700.155$0.67$0.06
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on February 20? · No0.7700.000$0.00$36.12
US bank failure by March 31? · No0.7150.000$0.00$7.18
Will Tesla reach $525 in January? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$0.67

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-24 08:42Will Trump say "Portland" during the State of the Union address?SELL0.12$0.48
02-24 03:19Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?SELL0.509$1.04
02-23 21:27Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez attend the 2026 State of the Union address?SELL0.011$0.03
02-23 14:41Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?SELL0.7$2.44
02-23 13:37Will US or Israel strike Iran first?SELL0.44$21.56
02-21 20:33Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?SELL0.43$1.15
02-21 19:58Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?SELL0.965$640.36
02-21 19:41Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?SELL0.86$1.38
02-19 18:47Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?BUY0.27$13.50
02-19 00:51Will the US strike Somalia next?SELL0.012414298$1.01
02-19 00:02Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?SELL0.931$52.64
02-18 23:40Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?SELL0.704$72.48
02-18 16:45Will the US strike Somalia next?BUY0.13$5.59
02-18 14:31Will Google (GOOGL) close above $300 end of February?BUY0.4$8.00
02-17 22:18Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?SELL0.32$10.84
Trader magicbed · PolyBot Pro