sfs22
0xc37a3e890aa64d2ba627b98917dd200b241e3687
- Realised P&L
- $-8.97
- Volume
- $65.3k
- Markets traded
- 156
- Open portfolio
- $37.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded156
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.90at 0.510Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
- +$2.40at 0.022Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$2.09at 0.331Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$1.40at 0.720Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on October 29?
- +$1.27at 0.440Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 09:47 | Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999814 | $2.00 |
| 09-21 09:46 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | BUY | 0.8799997184 | $2.00 |
| 09-21 09:46 | Iran leadership change by November 30? | BUY | 0.9199995952 | $2.00 |
| 09-21 09:45 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.819 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 08:46 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.86 | $3.43 |
| 08-29 08:45 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 08:45 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.888 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 08:44 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | BUY | 0.95 | $3.00 |
| 08-29 08:44 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | BUY | 0.9809999982 | $5.00 |
| 08-29 08:44 | Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $5.00 |
| 08-29 08:44 | Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.97 | $4.00 |
| 08-29 08:43 | Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.975 | $9.75 |
| 08-29 08:43 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.961 | $12.29 |
| 07-21 09:46 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.7729998609 | $1.00 |
| 07-21 09:46 | Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.8699992344 | $1.00 |