PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

zeviate

0xc35fd54fcf821fde0d6a9994a8091ed47a3c91aa

Realised P&L
$-13.88
Volume
$3.5k
Markets traded
85
Open portfolio
$10.44

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded85
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8230.972$3.54+$0.54
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.8130.817$2.01+$0.01
Will BLACKPINK headline Coachella 2027? · Yes0.0150.028$1.82+$0.82
Anne Hathaway baby: Boy or Girl? · Boy0.4900.305$1.52−$0.93
Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31? · Yes0.3700.295$0.80−$0.20
Weed rescheduled by December 31? · Yes0.2800.103$0.74−$1.26
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? · No0.7380.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? · Yes0.6500.000$0.00−$1.00
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? · No0.3700.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Bryan Johnson have sex again this month? · No0.5430.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$1.00
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 03:24Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31?BUY0.3699999593$1.00
10-12 04:36Will BLACKPINK headline Coachella 2027?BUY0.015068493$1.00
07-09 00:59Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?BUY0.7$1.00
07-09 00:59Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?BUY0.8499994475$1.00
06-26 02:14Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.3499998775$1.00
06-19 02:15Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
06-18 01:36Weed rescheduled by December 31?BUY0.2799999048$2.00
06-18 01:36Weed rescheduled by June 30?BUY0.0136678574$1.00
06-18 01:02Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?BUY0.2$1.00
06-17 01:20Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?SELL0.04$1.07
06-17 01:12Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?SELL0.11$8.84
06-17 01:11Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?BUY0.1399999922$15.00
06-16 01:32Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?BUY0.2299998275$1.00
06-15 23:59Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?BUY0.1299998986$1.00
06-15 23:26Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?BUY0.429999828$1.00