0xc35ee5712742a18Ec5AFae1Df5b97fb38253D368-1769783488584
0xc35ee5712742a18ec5afae1df5b97fb38253d368
- Realised P&L
- $-155.05
- Volume
- $99.3k
- Markets traded
- 71
- Open portfolio
- $202.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded71
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$450.77at 0.551US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?
- +$448.07at 0.414Will there be at least 1,100 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
- +$290.72at 0.351Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
- +$199.58at 0.672Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
- +$190.18at 0.656Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-23 11:13 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | BUY | 0.3799999951 | $20.00 |
| 05-11 11:04 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.7799999986 | $110.00 |
| 05-08 18:28 | Will Waymo operate in 9 cities on June 30 2026? | SELL | 0.0356981132 | $3.78 |
| 05-08 18:27 | Will Waymo operate in 10 cities on June 30 2026? | SELL | 0.0188937471 | $1.21 |
| 05-08 14:14 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | SELL | 0.52 | $104.00 |
| 04-27 17:51 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | SELL | 0.986 | $149.00 |
| 04-23 13:23 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | BUY | 0.6617159767 | $100.00 |
| 04-23 12:51 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.936 | $261.72 |
| 04-22 20:39 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.5 | $50.00 |
| 04-22 20:39 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.5 | $50.00 |
| 04-22 20:30 | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $153.85 |
| 04-22 20:24 | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999989 | $100.00 |
| 04-22 20:23 | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999989 | $100.00 |
| 04-20 19:21 | 2026 Balance of Power: Other | BUY | 0.006 | $10.00 |
| 04-20 19:17 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7152471664 | $200.00 |