PolyBot

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Traders

0xc35ee5712742a18Ec5AFae1Df5b97fb38253D368-1769783488584

0xc35ee5712742a18ec5afae1df5b97fb38253d368

Realised P&L
$-155.05
Volume
$99.3k
Markets traded
71
Open portfolio
$202.77

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded71
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.7800.925$130.45+$20.45
US recession by end of 2026? · Yes0.3240.065$45.50$181.50
Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? · Yes0.2000.110$11.00$9.00
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.3800.155$8.16$11.84
2026 Balance of Power: Other · Yes0.0060.003$4.17$5.83
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? · Yes0.4500.175$3.50$5.50
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? · No0.8250.000$0.00$400.00
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$9.59
Will Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? · Yes0.4100.000$0.00$80.01
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$2.00
Will France win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00$79.80
Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam? · Yes0.2230.000$0.00$147.08
Government shutdown on Saturday? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00$145.99
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? · Yes0.4680.000$0.00$600.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET · Down0.2590.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-23 11:13Iran leadership change by December 31?BUY0.3799999951$20.00
05-11 11:042026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.7799999986$110.00
05-08 18:28Will Waymo operate in 9 cities on June 30 2026?SELL0.0356981132$3.78
05-08 18:27Will Waymo operate in 10 cities on June 30 2026?SELL0.0188937471$1.21
05-08 14:142026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseSELL0.52$104.00
04-27 17:51Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?SELL0.986$149.00
04-23 13:23Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?BUY0.6617159767$100.00
04-23 12:51Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?SELL0.936$261.72
04-22 20:392026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.5$50.00
04-22 20:392026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.5$50.00
04-22 20:30US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?SELL0.1$153.85
04-22 20:24US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?BUY0.1299999989$100.00
04-22 20:23US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?BUY0.1299999989$100.00
04-20 19:212026 Balance of Power: OtherBUY0.006$10.00
04-20 19:17Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?BUY0.7152471664$200.00