pijins
0xc3249ba479b9bad6978d67c02aad753ca9a97f01
- Realised P&L
- $162.64
- Volume
- $29.2k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $74.05
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration47.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.965 | $53.05 | +$33.25 |
| Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.840 | $21.00 | +$3.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$86.70at 0.464Hawks vs. Bulls
- +$63.00at 0.673Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
- +$27.09at 0.670Will Bitcoin hit $100k again by Sunday?
- +$3.50at 0.778Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
- +$1.34at 0.800Will Ethereum reach $5200 in October?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-13 07:52 | Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? | BUY | 0.71 | $35.50 |
| 04-02 07:22 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.682 | $4.8k |
| 03-31 08:42 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.673 | $4.7k |
| 01-26 07:47 | Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.79 | $2.7k |
| 01-23 07:44 | Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.79 | $2.7k |
| 01-22 07:28 | Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | BUY | 0.778 | $2.7k |
| 10-13 07:14 | Will Ethereum reach $5200 in October? | BUY | 0.8 | $5.38 |
| 03-24 06:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84000 and $86000 on Mar 28? | BUY | 0.8299999899 | $55.33 |
| 03-24 06:32 | Will the Liberal Initiative win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election? | SELL | 0.995 | $174.25 |
| 03-24 06:31 | Will the Liberal Initiative win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election? | BUY | 0.996 | $174.43 |
| 01-15 03:28 | Hawks vs. Bulls | BUY | 0.4638084653 | $75.00 |
| 01-15 03:11 | Crystal Palace wins the Premier League? | SELL | 0.995 | $87.73 |
| 01-15 03:11 | Crystal Palace wins the Premier League? | BUY | 0.996 | $87.82 |
| 01-15 03:10 | Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.984 | $87.82 |
| 01-15 03:10 | Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.9849999999 | $87.92 |