0xc31bc27d8758e004b7cce66eb6ef2e3927128019
0xc31bc27d8758e004b7cce66eb6ef2e3927128019
- Realised P&L
- $-0.60
- Volume
- $266.49
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $5.59
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be 1-3 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026? · Yes | 0.820 | 0.976 | $4.55 | +$0.73 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.279 | 0.055 | $0.90 | −$3.67 |
| Will a hurricane make landfall in Louisiana by November 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.040 | $0.14 | −$0.91 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.18at 0.928Will there be 4-6 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?
- +$0.82at 0.682Trump renames AI by September 30?
- +$0.11at 0.909Will the first Atlantic hurricane form between September 21 and September 25, 2026?
- +$-0.18at 0.311Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?
- +$-0.39at 0.053Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C or below on September 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 12:33 | Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.00 |
| 10-06 20:59 | Will a hurricane make landfall in Louisiana by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.05 |
| 10-06 20:43 | Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.01 |
| 10-06 20:43 | Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.01 |
| 10-06 20:43 | Will there be 1-3 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026? | BUY | 0.8199999871 | $3.82 |
| 10-06 20:42 | Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.25 |
| 10-05 17:55 | Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026? | SELL | 0.46 | $0.40 |
| 10-05 17:55 | Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026? | SELL | 0.45 | $0.01 |
| 10-05 15:05 | Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026? | SELL | 0.52 | $0.01 |
| 10-05 15:05 | Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026? | SELL | 0.52 | $0.33 |
| 10-04 16:11 | Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026? | SELL | 0.54 | $0.01 |
| 10-04 16:11 | Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026? | SELL | 0.54 | $0.56 |
| 10-04 08:06 | Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026? | SELL | 0.51 | $0.20 |
| 10-04 08:06 | Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026? | SELL | 0.52 | $0.50 |
| 10-02 19:41 | Will Argentina vs. Burkina Faso end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.05 |