PolyBot

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Traders

0xc31bc27d8758e004b7cce66eb6ef2e3927128019

0xc31bc27d8758e004b7cce66eb6ef2e3927128019

Realised P&L
$-0.60
Volume
$266.49
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$5.59

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration55.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration81.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be 1-3 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026? · Yes0.8200.976$4.55+$0.73
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2790.055$0.90−$3.67
Will a hurricane make landfall in Louisiana by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.3000.040$0.14−$0.91

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-07 12:33Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?SELL0.03$0.00
10-06 20:59Will a hurricane make landfall in Louisiana by November 30, 2026?BUY0.3$1.05
10-06 20:43Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?SELL0.08$0.01
10-06 20:43Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?SELL0.08$0.01
10-06 20:43Will there be 1-3 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?BUY0.8199999871$3.82
10-06 20:42Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?SELL0.08$0.25
10-05 17:55Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?SELL0.46$0.40
10-05 17:55Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?SELL0.45$0.01
10-05 15:05Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?SELL0.52$0.01
10-05 15:05Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?SELL0.52$0.33
10-04 16:11Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?SELL0.54$0.01
10-04 16:11Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?SELL0.54$0.56
10-04 08:06Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?SELL0.51$0.20
10-04 08:06Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?SELL0.52$0.50
10-02 19:41Will Argentina vs. Burkina Faso end in a draw?BUY0.2$1.05