Brauder
0xc2f0d3aee9d6ba5e0ec139ef12e950237b868f93
- Realised P&L
- $-10.69
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $64.22
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.031 | 0.025 | $48.46 | −$11.53 |
| Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? · No | 0.300 | 0.355 | $5.75 | +$0.89 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · No | 0.790 | 0.805 | $5.09 | +$0.09 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.790 | 0.775 | $4.91 | −$0.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.16at 0.671Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 11:48 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.035 | $50.00 |
| 09-11 09:05 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0196078431 | $10.00 |
| 09-10 21:36 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999905 | $5.00 |
| 09-10 21:36 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BUY | 0.7899999905 | $5.00 |
| 09-10 21:36 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | BUY | 0.3 | $4.86 |
| 09-10 21:20 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.65 | $3.19 |
| 09-10 21:07 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6599999878 | $3.24 |