PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Brauder

0xc2f0d3aee9d6ba5e0ec139ef12e950237b868f93

Realised P&L
$-10.69
Volume
$2.0k
Markets traded
5
Open portfolio
$64.22

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded5
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration75.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0310.025$48.46$11.53
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? · No0.3000.355$5.75+$0.89
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · No0.7900.805$5.09+$0.09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · No0.7900.775$4.91$0.09

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 11:48Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?BUY0.035$50.00
09-11 09:05Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0196078431$10.00
09-10 21:36Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7899999905$5.00
09-10 21:36Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?BUY0.7899999905$5.00
09-10 21:36Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?BUY0.3$4.86
09-10 21:20Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.65$3.19
09-10 21:07Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.6599999878$3.24