0xc2e9349aa1997426ff2338c73a24917fb1962d25
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $5.96
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)12.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No | 0.830 | 0.825 | $4.97 | −$0.03 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No | 0.860 | 0.855 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.85at 0.734Will Bitcoin dip to $83,000 on October 12?
- +$-0.03at 0.836Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?
- +$-0.05at 0.767Will Wang Chung-ming win the next Lienchiang County Magistrate election?
- +$-0.05at 0.738Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?
- +$-0.11at 0.884Will Ann Kao win the next Hsinchu City Mayor election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 12:29 | Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? | SELL | 0.71 | $0.97 |
| 10-12 12:29 | Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? | SELL | 0.28 | $0.94 |
| 10-12 12:28 | Will Wang Chung-ming win the next Lienchiang County Magistrate election? | SELL | 0.74 | $0.97 |
| 10-12 12:28 | Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | SELL | 0.82 | $0.98 |
| 10-12 12:27 | Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | SELL | 0.184 | $4.97 |
| 10-12 12:27 | Will Ann Kao win the next Hsinchu City Mayor election? | SELL | 0.87 | $4.94 |
| 10-12 12:26 | Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | SELL | 0.65 | $14.77 |
| 10-12 11:50 | Will Bitcoin dip to $83,000 on October 12? | BUY | 0.7199999654 | $5.00 |
| 10-12 11:49 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 11:47 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.8299999153 | $5.00 |
| 10-12 10:58 | Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.659999963 | $5.00 |
| 10-12 10:57 | Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | BUY | 0.1849999933 | $5.00 |
| 10-12 10:55 | Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 10:53 | Will Wang Chung-ming win the next Lienchiang County Magistrate election? | BUY | 0.759999696 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 10:43 | Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? | BUY | 0.2959999455 | $1.00 |