PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xc2e9349aa1997426ff2338c73a24917fb1962d25

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$5.96

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)12.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration83.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8300.825$4.97−$0.03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.8600.855$0.99−$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 12:29Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?SELL0.71$0.97
10-12 12:29Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?SELL0.28$0.94
10-12 12:28Will Wang Chung-ming win the next Lienchiang County Magistrate election?SELL0.74$0.97
10-12 12:28Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?SELL0.82$0.98
10-12 12:27Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?SELL0.184$4.97
10-12 12:27Will Ann Kao win the next Hsinchu City Mayor election?SELL0.87$4.94
10-12 12:26Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?SELL0.65$14.77
10-12 11:50Will Bitcoin dip to $83,000 on October 12?BUY0.7199999654$5.00
10-12 11:49Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.859999914$1.00
10-12 11:47Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.8299999153$5.00
10-12 10:58Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?BUY0.659999963$5.00
10-12 10:57Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?BUY0.1849999933$5.00
10-12 10:55Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?BUY0.8299999087$1.00
10-12 10:53Will Wang Chung-ming win the next Lienchiang County Magistrate election?BUY0.759999696$1.00
10-12 10:43Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?BUY0.2959999455$1.00