PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

vlss

0xc2e472ddec1927af76bf43b727fd498d139f0966

Realised P&L
$-66.50
Volume
$1.6k
Markets traded
29
Open portfolio
$155.45

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded29
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration74.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.0601.000$83.67+$78.67
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? · Yes0.2701.000$37.04+$27.04
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? · Yes0.6571.000$30.42+$10.42
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1100.037$1.70−$3.30
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · Yes0.1200.065$1.63−$1.38
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31? · Yes0.2520.050$0.99−$4.01
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.3590.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 17, 2026? · Yes0.0460.000$0.00−$4.00
US government shutdown by October 1? · No0.3460.000$0.00−$143.99
Xi Jinping out in 2025? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 19, 2026? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00−$2.00
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026? · Yes0.0330.000$0.00−$2.00
Will OpenAI launch a token in 2025? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$1.00
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-15 23:06Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?BUY0.2699999806$10.00
04-15 23:03Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?BUY0.0328385656$2.00
04-15 23:03Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?BUY0.0563489492$2.00
04-15 23:03Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 18, 2026?BUY0.0429999803$1.85
04-15 23:02Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 17, 2026?BUY0.0490376364$1.85
04-15 23:01Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?BUY0.6573636665$20.00
04-15 22:59Will Russia invade another country in 2026?BUY0.12$3.00
04-15 22:58Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by April 30, 2026?BUY0.0299999943$4.61
04-15 22:58Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by April 30, 2026?BUY0.3499999615$4.74
04-15 22:55Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 30, 2026?BUY0.0219855599$1.84
04-15 22:55Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 20, 2026?BUY0.0429999803$1.85
04-15 22:55Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 19, 2026?BUY0.0243052349$1.84
04-15 22:54Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 18, 2026?BUY0.0300820073$0.91
04-15 22:54Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 17, 2026?BUY0.04$1.85
04-15 22:48Will Putin visit China by May 31?BUY0.1644100197$3.00