ytothej
0xc2d45a207283c9a4b88dfb60828821a885f2a292
- Realised P&L
- $-438.55
- Volume
- $54.7k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $6.42
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Frontier Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.180 | $5.68 | −$0.32 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No | 0.315 | 0.046 | $0.74 | −$4.26 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Lee Sang-min in jail by August 15? · No | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.00 |
| Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday? · No | 0.006 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
| Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Friday? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$31.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.97at 0.462Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
- +$-83.08at 0.198Tea App removed from App Store by August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-25 06:53 | Will Frontier Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31? | BUY | 0.1899999766 | $6.00 |
| 05-16 04:57 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.3149999742 | $5.00 |
| 05-13 13:03 | Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999467 | $2.00 |
| 05-13 13:03 | Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? | BUY | 0.449999955 | $5.00 |
| 08-08 09:13 | No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.1899999726 | $5.00 |
| 08-08 07:19 | Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Friday? | BUY | 0.3799999742 | $5.00 |
| 08-07 02:17 | Tea App removed from App Store by August 31? | SELL | 0.0335246567 | $16.92 |
| 07-31 08:58 | Lee Sang-min in jail by August 15? | BUY | 0.1199999931 | $14.00 |
| 07-31 05:44 | US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025? | BUY | 0.2599999943 | $31.00 |
| 07-29 09:37 | Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday? | BUY | 0.01 | $200.00 |
| 07-28 06:41 | Tea App removed from App Store by August 31? | BUY | 0.1981246586 | $100.00 |
| 07-28 06:35 | Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday? | BUY | 0.003 | $100.00 |