PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

m1a

0xc2a658f89d35ba50bd54a452b6e616dc4923417a

Realised P&L
$-603.34
Volume
$14.2k
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$390.98

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration30.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration74.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.3760.460$292.72+$53.19
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 · Yes0.7290.170$98.26$322.85
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? · No0.9000.000$0.00$410.49

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-08 09:17Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.376$239.53
01-14 06:40Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026BUY0.7285640138$421.11
01-14 06:24Will Trump visit China by April 30?BUY0.24$59.00
01-13 17:02MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?BUY0.9$410.49
11-18 11:45Hyperliquid all time high by December 31?BUY0.81$30.64
11-18 11:41Hyperliquid all time high by December 31?BUY0.82$646.73
10-27 12:33Stable FDV above $4B one day after launch?BUY0.47$141.00
10-27 12:32Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?SELL0.99$99.00
06-25 08:03Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?BUY0.974$97.40
11-06 03:01Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?BUY0.399$192.67
11-06 01:41Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?SELL0.71$192.67
11-05 17:22Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?BUY0.6099999988$165.53
11-05 16:56Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?SELL0.406$91.85
11-05 06:57Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?BUY0.3889999985$88.00
11-04 16:40Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?SELL0.581$161.69