PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

plsnothackme

0xc2910da80aceb8ba55ec436e9d388d6d788130ab

Realised P&L
$3.0k
Volume
$188.7k
Markets traded
285
Open portfolio
$8.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded285
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? · No0.6730.815$2.1k+$360.15
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? · No0.6310.845$876.29+$222.03
Will Zcash dip to $400 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5260.890$788.26+$322.57
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? · No0.1900.255$763.89+$194.72
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? · No0.9030.935$458.15+$15.68
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.5630.457$447.37$104.37
Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP? · No0.8260.863$422.63+$17.89
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.4960.427$418.95$67.13
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes0.3000.485$239.72+$91.44
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · No0.9520.991$178.38+$7.02
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? · No0.6090.550$146.46$15.70
Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027? · No0.5890.735$128.66+$25.56
Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No0.9000.912$121.80+$1.63
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? · No0.6400.685$121.62+$7.99
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? · No0.9450.961$119.23+$1.92

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 14:34Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch?BUY0.9059999866$26.66
09-17 09:04Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by October 31?BUY0.0283802341$2.90
09-17 06:56Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch?BUY0.8979999924$93.51
09-16 18:00Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.0049800797$2.50
09-16 01:29Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.05$7.98
09-16 01:12Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?BUY0.129999995$3.13
09-15 19:47Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.06$28.47
09-15 07:51Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?BUY0.6699999905$39.32
09-15 06:54Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.18$82.87
09-15 06:53Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.18$90.00
09-14 20:49Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.2399999998$119.02
09-14 20:48Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.2399999998$119.02
09-14 20:48Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.76$351.99
09-14 20:45Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.76$20.41
09-14 19:30Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.08$23.89