plsnothackme
0xc2910da80aceb8ba55ec436e9d388d6d788130ab
- Realised P&L
- $3.0k
- Volume
- $188.7k
- Markets traded
- 285
- Open portfolio
- $8.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded285
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.382Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$637.73at 0.130Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
- +$601.55at 0.799Will Portugal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$531.30at 0.821Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$509.14at 0.487Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 14:34 | Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9059999866 | $26.66 |
| 09-17 09:04 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by October 31? | BUY | 0.0283802341 | $2.90 |
| 09-17 06:56 | Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8979999924 | $93.51 |
| 09-16 18:00 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.0049800797 | $2.50 |
| 09-16 01:29 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $7.98 |
| 09-16 01:12 | Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.129999995 | $3.13 |
| 09-15 19:47 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $28.47 |
| 09-15 07:51 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.6699999905 | $39.32 |
| 09-15 06:54 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $82.87 |
| 09-15 06:53 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $90.00 |
| 09-14 20:49 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999998 | $119.02 |
| 09-14 20:48 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999998 | $119.02 |
| 09-14 20:48 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.76 | $351.99 |
| 09-14 20:45 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.76 | $20.41 |
| 09-14 19:30 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $23.89 |