PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xc287D8A7660765Ad8523d96d85157B0806E8A70A-1773649201327

0xc287d8a7660765ad8523d96d85157b0806e8a70a

Realised P&L
$1.71
Volume
$94.15
Markets traded
25
Open portfolio
$4.23

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded25
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5900.595$1.82+$0.02
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16? · Yes0.9740.978$1.61+$0.01
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4500.165$0.81−$1.39
Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs · Paper Rex0.6700.000$0.00−$2.30
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00−$1.80
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026? · Yes0.7400.000$0.00−$1.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 02:47US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16?BUY0.9739999951$1.60
10-09 02:38Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions PlayoffsBUY0.669999965$2.30
09-21 02:45Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?BUY0.9689999304$1.10
09-15 02:24Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.8629999727$1.90
09-07 02:58US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?BUY0.9729999935$1.20
08-28 02:47Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?BUY0.5799999162$1.80
08-13 09:06Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.96$5.20
08-06 07:30Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?BUY0.988999999$5.18
07-28 03:54US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?BUY0.4869999589$1.87
07-20 06:56Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.9869999963$2.16
07-13 03:34Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.9689999958$2.10
07-07 02:29Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?BUY0.5899999541$1.80
06-30 06:00US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?BUY0.9699998408$5.18
06-22 09:43Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?BUY0.9720160399$2.13
06-15 02:42US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?BUY0.7399999611$1.90