ppooi7
0xc25aaffcd9c534cc08325a1cd31137b357aefa2c
- Realised P&L
- $-70.84
- Volume
- $95.8k
- Markets traded
- 105
- Open portfolio
- $81.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded105
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.997 | 0.997 | $32.88 | −$0.02 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.515 | $30.90 | +$0.90 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.585 | $17.55 | −$0.45 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET · Up | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET · Up | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.66 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET · Down | 0.760 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$76.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.91at 0.005Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$6.74at 0.357Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
- +$5.70at 0.005Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$5.10at 0.580Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$4.64at 0.519Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 15:34 | Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $32.90 |
| 11-01 15:34 | Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.6 | $18.00 |
| 11-01 15:34 | Will Bitcoin hit $100k by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.5 | $30.00 |
| 06-02 16:35 | Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.994 | $24.85 |
| 06-02 16:34 | Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $21.96 |
| 06-02 16:33 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $76.77 |
| 06-02 16:28 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.979 | $10.77 |
| 06-02 16:28 | Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $12.97 |
| 06-02 16:27 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $11.14 |
| 06-02 16:27 | Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $12.97 |
| 05-06 07:59 | Will Ethereum dip to $400 in May? | BUY | 0.998 | $12.97 |
| 05-06 07:58 | Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $12.97 |
| 05-06 07:58 | Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $12.97 |
| 05-06 07:57 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May? | BUY | 0.996 | $896.40 |
| 05-06 07:52 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.46 | $13.85 |