0xc258b1988ada32fb75950d7c61617c3995c66934
- Realised P&L
- $3.96
- Volume
- $113.66
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $20.39
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)35.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.60at 0.740Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $735 Week of July 20 2026?
- +$2.27at 0.680Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 Week of July 20 2026?
- +$1.60at 0.755Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$1.58at 0.550Will Trump say "Toyota" during Michigan remarks?
- +$0.69at 0.745Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 04:39 | Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9? | BUY | 0.2799999048 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 20:30 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999422 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 12:04 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.34999993 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 11:42 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.5199999896 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 03:40 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.3599998314 | $1.11 |
| 08-01 19:39 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999272 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 11:39 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 03:16 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.62 | $1.86 |
| 07-31 19:15 | Will SpaceX say "ISS" or "International Space Station" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.78 | $2.00 |
| 07-31 11:15 | Another pandemic before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999268 | $1.95 |
| 07-30 21:59 | New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999268 | $1.95 |
| 07-29 09:21 | Will Warsh say "Restrictive" during July Press Conference? | BUY | 0.42 | $1.26 |
| 07-28 23:37 | New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.53 |
| 07-28 06:18 | Will Warsh say "Independence" during July Press Conference? | BUY | 0.37 | $1.11 |
| 07-27 20:44 | Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.91 |