PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xc25074089e41E0C579770242429d7f0c3FFF4Faf-1777565830339

0xc25074089e41e0c579770242429d7f0c3fff4faf

Realised P&L
$-286.04
Volume
$22.8k
Markets traded
184
Open portfolio
$383.09

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded184
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.3170.805$177.65+$107.65
Will Henrik Fritzon be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne? · No0.6000.955$47.75+$17.75
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.4160.512$36.96+$6.96
Will SPD win less than 10% of all valid second votes? · Yes0.5590.542$25.23$0.77
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September? · Yes0.5700.465$23.71$5.35
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September? · No0.6500.485$22.38$7.62
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No0.0700.154$22.00+$12.00
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.3770.350$18.57$1.43
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.4300.115$8.83$24.17
Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats? · No0.6060.001$0.02$26.98
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? · Yes0.5480.000$0.00$25.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1660.000$0.00$10.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 4? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$11.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July? · No0.3510.000$0.00$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET · Down0.1000.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 16:45Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?BUY0.5699999904$29.06
09-15 16:37Will SPD win less than 10% of all valid second votes?BUY0.5591468675$26.00
09-14 07:45Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September?BUY0.6499999946$30.00
09-14 07:44Will Stephen Root – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a comedy series?BUY0.539999986$20.00
09-08 06:39Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on September 8?BUY0.2699999966$20.00
09-08 06:23Will Henrik Fritzon be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne?BUY0.6$30.00
09-06 20:18Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in August?BUY0.4799999952$20.00
09-06 20:17Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?SELL0.3563633388$21.77
09-06 20:09Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?BUY0.6062009964$27.00
09-06 19:56Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: AfD Over/Under 42%?SELL0.990264776$37.36
09-04 10:30Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?BUY0.4909983633$30.00
09-02 14:17Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: AfD Over/Under 42%?BUY0.5299999883$20.00
09-01 08:11Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on September 1?BUY0.2299999869$10.00
09-01 08:09Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 August 31-September 6?BUY0.1399999888$10.00
09-01 08:03Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?SELL0.006$0.31