0xc25074089e41E0C579770242429d7f0c3FFF4Faf-1777565830339
0xc25074089e41e0c579770242429d7f0c3fff4faf
- Realised P&L
- $-286.04
- Volume
- $22.8k
- Markets traded
- 184
- Open portfolio
- $383.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded184
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$184.94at 0.253Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?
- +$136.54at 0.837Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B
- +$115.99at 0.625US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
- +$106.63at 0.492Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
- +$98.44at 0.268U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 16:45 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September? | BUY | 0.5699999904 | $29.06 |
| 09-15 16:37 | Will SPD win less than 10% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.5591468675 | $26.00 |
| 09-14 07:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September? | BUY | 0.6499999946 | $30.00 |
| 09-14 07:44 | Will Stephen Root – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a comedy series? | BUY | 0.539999986 | $20.00 |
| 09-08 06:39 | Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on September 8? | BUY | 0.2699999966 | $20.00 |
| 09-08 06:23 | Will Henrik Fritzon be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne? | BUY | 0.6 | $30.00 |
| 09-06 20:18 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in August? | BUY | 0.4799999952 | $20.00 |
| 09-06 20:17 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats? | SELL | 0.3563633388 | $21.77 |
| 09-06 20:09 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats? | BUY | 0.6062009964 | $27.00 |
| 09-06 19:56 | Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: AfD Over/Under 42%? | SELL | 0.990264776 | $37.36 |
| 09-04 10:30 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats? | BUY | 0.4909983633 | $30.00 |
| 09-02 14:17 | Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: AfD Over/Under 42%? | BUY | 0.5299999883 | $20.00 |
| 09-01 08:11 | Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on September 1? | BUY | 0.2299999869 | $10.00 |
| 09-01 08:09 | Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 August 31-September 6? | BUY | 0.1399999888 | $10.00 |
| 09-01 08:03 | Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.31 |