Skraiko
0xc24f07c9aa9c1b2a7350af578e8889f14d38192d
- Realised P&L
- $-79.20
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $35.63
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration84.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? · Yes | 0.335 | 0.225 | $13.41 | −$6.59 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus before 2027? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.004 | $7.60 | −$12.50 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.040 | $7.60 | −$17.40 |
| Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2026? · Yes | 0.158 | 0.075 | $4.74 | −$5.26 |
| Will Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.840 | 1.000 | $1.19 | +$0.19 |
| Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 3, 2026? · Yes | 0.915 | 1.000 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
| U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31? · No | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? · Yes | 0.299 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.41at 0.490S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 23?
- +$1.86at 0.915Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-09 10:23 | Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.9149999908 | $1.00 |
| 04-09 10:23 | Will Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.00 |
| 03-10 11:00 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.2990722688 | $30.00 |
| 02-21 14:20 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 23? | BUY | 0.4899999814 | $10.00 |
| 01-25 08:08 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus before 2027? | BUY | 0.009 | $3.55 |
| 01-24 15:32 | Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? | BUY | 0.3354804079 | $20.00 |
| 01-24 15:32 | Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2026? | BUY | 0.1582434972 | $10.00 |
| 01-24 15:28 | U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31? | BUY | 0.25 | $20.00 |
| 01-05 10:39 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999957 | $25.00 |
| 01-04 17:45 | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9149999712 | $20.00 |