0xC249Be6bC8426FD0C3E070e974704A5061225353-1789311244988
0xc249be6bc8426fd0c3e070e974704a5061225353
- Realised P&L
- $-45.63
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $97.29
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)31.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.695 | $39.71 | −$0.29 |
| Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.843 | 0.790 | $28.11 | −$1.89 |
| Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.275 | 0.230 | $19.21 | −$3.79 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.245 | $4.22 | −$0.78 |
| No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.081 | $3.14 | −$8.86 |
| Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.900 | 0.870 | $2.90 | −$0.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.94at 0.646Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$6.60at 0.357Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$5.27at 0.794Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$1.26at 0.942Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
- +$0.64at 0.430Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 12:39 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $5.00 |
| 10-26 12:36 | Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%? | BUY | 0.3599999928 | $12.00 |
| 10-26 12:35 | No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.3099999954 | $12.00 |
| 10-21 07:41 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? | SELL | 0.23 | $7.19 |
| 10-13 06:37 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.8834050089 | $34.92 |
| 10-12 05:52 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? | SELL | 0.41 | $7.59 |
| 10-11 18:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 11:17 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September? | SELL | 0.5894642436 | $24.98 |
| 10-09 22:48 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? | BUY | 0.539999986 | $10.00 |
| 10-07 15:39 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.23 | $9.58 |
| 10-04 22:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET | SELL | 0.58 | $1.07 |
| 10-04 22:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 22:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET | SELL | 0.14 | $0.58 |
| 10-04 22:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET | SELL | 0.78 | $1.50 |
| 10-04 22:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |