PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

polnewlud

0xc239c8f58f88d023ed82291f8e317764dede6459

Realised P&L
$-1.6k
Volume
$97.2k
Markets traded
817
Open portfolio
$162.61

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded817
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration7.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 04:56Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 2?BUY0.989$19.78
10-01 00:39Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on October 1?BUY0.92$19.32
09-15 01:10Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 15?BUY0.94$19.74
09-15 00:10Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on September 15?BUY0.92$19.32
09-15 00:10Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on September 15?BUY0.93$9.30
09-14 01:56Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on September 14?BUY0.99$19.80
09-14 01:56Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on September 14?BUY0.97$19.40
09-01 04:19Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on September 1?BUY0.98$19.60
08-31 04:01Will the lowest temperature in Busan be 23°C on August 31?BUY0.99$19.80
08-31 03:06Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 12°C on August 31?BUY0.99$11.88
08-30 07:53Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 30?BUY0.99$19.80
08-30 07:53Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 30?BUY0.98$19.60
08-30 00:15Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on August 30?BUY0.99$19.80
08-29 01:16Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on August 29?BUY0.99$16.78
08-29 00:03Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 29?BUY0.99$11.88