PolyBot

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Traders

Bdrivedfya

0xc2052656d5ccb272eadb93fc8b79f963528ceec2

Realised P&L
$1.3k
Volume
$163.8k
Markets traded
589
Open portfolio
$3.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded589
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8360.945$689.67+$79.87
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.9030.945$496.13+$22.13
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7180.725$346.42+$3.38
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5220.575$277.97+$25.38
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7440.745$264.49+$0.51
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.8600.935$187.00+$15.00
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? · Yes0.6260.666$180.62+$10.98
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? · Yes0.8100.845$169.00+$7.00
Will OpenAI IPO by March 31 2027? · No0.7790.805$128.64+$4.19
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6900.705$105.75+$2.25
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? · Yes0.8860.882$78.25−$0.35
Tom Holland as Spider-Man? · Yes0.5410.455$50.05−$9.45
Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engaged in 2026? · Yes0.2850.100$43.00−$79.40
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.005$31.25−$18.75
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0210.026$30.95+$5.95

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 13:12Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?BUY0.626$169.65
10-30 13:12Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?SELL0.519108121$174.38
10-30 12:54Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.529999998$50.00
10-30 12:54Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.53$58.30
10-30 12:53Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.52$7.80
10-30 12:53Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?SELL0.7$105.62
10-30 12:52Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.7099999988$150.00
10-30 12:51Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?SELL0.77$134.63
10-30 12:51Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.71$177.50
10-30 12:49Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?SELL0.32$110.40
10-30 12:48Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?BUY0.69$103.50
10-30 12:47Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.52$156.00
10-30 12:46Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.52$156.00
10-30 12:45Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.78$156.00
10-30 12:41Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?BUY0.887$62.43