Bdrivedfya
0xc2052656d5ccb272eadb93fc8b79f963528ceec2
- Realised P&L
- $1.3k
- Volume
- $163.8k
- Markets traded
- 589
- Open portfolio
- $3.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded589
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$449.87at 0.187Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026?
- +$274.13at 0.762Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
- +$266.66at 0.655Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$233.75at 0.703Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$230.94at 0.574Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 13:12 | Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.626 | $169.65 |
| 10-30 13:12 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.519108121 | $174.38 |
| 10-30 12:54 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.529999998 | $50.00 |
| 10-30 12:54 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.53 | $58.30 |
| 10-30 12:53 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.52 | $7.80 |
| 10-30 12:53 | Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.7 | $105.62 |
| 10-30 12:52 | Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999988 | $150.00 |
| 10-30 12:51 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.77 | $134.63 |
| 10-30 12:51 | Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $177.50 |
| 10-30 12:49 | Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $110.40 |
| 10-30 12:48 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.69 | $103.50 |
| 10-30 12:47 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.52 | $156.00 |
| 10-30 12:46 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.52 | $156.00 |
| 10-30 12:45 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $156.00 |
| 10-30 12:41 | Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | BUY | 0.887 | $62.43 |