JstnPewPew
0xc1dd4ed9d0aa33ae7a096b7a55ff1232a8eccd87
- Realised P&L
- $-41.16
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $329.68
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 20, 2026? · No | 0.943 | 0.981 | $62.41 | +$2.41 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · Yes | 0.665 | 0.665 | $60.00 | +$0.00 |
| Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.740 | 0.785 | $31.82 | +$1.82 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.765 | $31.44 | +$1.44 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.715 | $30.64 | +$0.64 |
| Anne Hathaway baby: Boy or Girl? · Girl | 0.490 | 0.495 | $30.31 | +$0.31 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.805 | $30.19 | +$0.19 |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? · No | 0.880 | 0.865 | $29.49 | −$0.51 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30? · Yes | 0.054 | 0.033 | $18.06 | −$11.94 |
| Lions vs. Bills · Lions | 0.310 | 0.055 | $5.32 | −$24.68 |
| Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.63at 0.636Will Warsh say "Task Force" 10+ times during September Press Conference?
- +$13.98at 0.688Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)
- +$-14.46at 0.061US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 00:11 | Lions vs. Bills | BUY | 0.3099999986 | $30.00 |
| 09-17 04:34 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | BUY | 0.6699999987 | $30.00 |
| 09-17 04:29 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $30.00 |
| 09-17 03:03 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $30.00 |
| 09-17 03:03 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | BUY | 0.6999999977 | $30.00 |
| 09-17 03:02 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | BUY | 0.6599999921 | $30.00 |
| 09-17 00:23 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.032 | $16.00 |
| 09-16 21:45 | Anne Hathaway baby: Boy or Girl? | BUY | 0.4899999984 | $30.00 |
| 09-16 20:08 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.7299999895 | $30.00 |
| 09-16 19:07 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.9269102968 | $30.00 |
| 09-16 14:55 | Will Warsh say "Task Force" 10+ times during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.6199999971 | $30.00 |
| 09-16 01:34 | Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.739999997 | $30.00 |
| 09-16 01:25 | Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5) | BUY | 0.6699999987 | $30.00 |
| 09-15 23:08 | Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.629999995 | $30.00 |
| 09-15 08:20 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $30.00 |