PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Jgborn

0xc1b7cca4331fb1ec2ccbbe9c5b5559cb09b0e00b

Realised P&L
$111.54
Volume
$257.0k
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$843.25

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration64.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)27.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · Yes0.1330.105$445.39$120.41
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · Yes0.5090.055$269.86$2.2k
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.055$110.00$90.00
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0500.004$18.00$181.99
Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026? · Yes0.0440.000$0.00$200.00
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$537.19
Starmer out in 2025? · Yes0.0790.000$0.00$192.56

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-08 19:082026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.12$281.87
07-21 23:112026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.1499999996$283.93
07-15 01:08Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1$200.00
07-15 01:07Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0499882278$200.00
06-08 01:09Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.007$91.66
06-06 17:00Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.0619999999$377.88
06-06 16:57Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?SELL0.0104371017$395.65
03-23 19:41Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?BUY0.1299999998$469.48
03-21 02:20Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.0699999999$537.20
03-14 20:25Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?BUY0.1488443889$1.1k
03-08 00:55Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?BUY0.1899999999$1.5k
03-03 21:45Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?BUY0.2151996478$654.93
03-03 21:44Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?SELL0.0438684133$654.93
03-01 04:39Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?BUY0.1297671263$289.11
02-28 21:52Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?BUY0.1348656459$1000.00