Jgborn
0xc1b7cca4331fb1ec2ccbbe9c5b5559cb09b0e00b
- Realised P&L
- $111.54
- Volume
- $257.0k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $843.25
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)27.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · Yes | 0.133 | 0.105 | $445.39 | −$120.41 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · Yes | 0.509 | 0.055 | $269.86 | −$2.2k |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.055 | $110.00 | −$90.00 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.004 | $18.00 | −$181.99 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026? · Yes | 0.044 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$537.19 |
| Starmer out in 2025? · Yes | 0.079 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$192.56 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.3kat 0.272Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
- +$5.6kat 0.202Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$12.52at 0.263Will Don Lemon be criminally charged?
- +$-3.51at 0.820Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$-29.10at 0.184Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 19:08 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.12 | $281.87 |
| 07-21 23:11 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.1499999996 | $283.93 |
| 07-15 01:08 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $200.00 |
| 07-15 01:07 | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0499882278 | $200.00 |
| 06-08 01:09 | Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.007 | $91.66 |
| 06-06 17:00 | Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.0619999999 | $377.88 |
| 06-06 16:57 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | SELL | 0.0104371017 | $395.65 |
| 03-23 19:41 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.1299999998 | $469.48 |
| 03-21 02:20 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.0699999999 | $537.20 |
| 03-14 20:25 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.1488443889 | $1.1k |
| 03-08 00:55 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.1899999999 | $1.5k |
| 03-03 21:45 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.2151996478 | $654.93 |
| 03-03 21:44 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.0438684133 | $654.93 |
| 03-01 04:39 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.1297671263 | $289.11 |
| 02-28 21:52 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.1348656459 | $1000.00 |