PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ukitke

0xc1a7042a73fb93ebb1f616124e93ea22e7f9e9ad

Realised P&L
$-223.45
Volume
$5.7k
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$47.02

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)16.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration76.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1300.046$35.77$64.23
Will Elon register any party before 2027? · Yes0.1880.105$11.25$8.75
Will SpaceX have less than 7 launches in January? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$1.00
Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.1590.000$0.00$10.00
Will Grok 4.20 be released on January 24, 2026? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00$5.00
Will EA say "Mobile" during earnings call? · Yes0.0690.000$0.00$21.00
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$100.00
Will Medline not IPO by December 31, 2025? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Will Trump say "Unbelievable" or "Fantastic" or "Incredible" 10+ times during Panthers visit? · No0.0020.000$0.00$1.00
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $190 end of January? · No0.0180.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-17 12:47Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?BUY0.08$100.00
06-17 12:469.0 or above earthquake before 2027?SELL0.0555474755$6.17
06-17 12:46Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?SELL0.004$0.24
06-17 12:46FDA approves Retatrutide this year?SELL0.1160006001$3.87
06-17 12:45Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL0.068$4.86
06-17 12:45Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?SELL0.15$14.56
06-17 12:44Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?SELL0.979$73.59
01-17 18:31Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY0.9729999997$73.15
01-17 18:30Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.0699999874$5.00
01-17 18:29Will Medline not IPO by December 31, 2025?BUY0.001$1.00
01-17 18:28Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.1299999989$100.00
01-17 18:24FDA approves Retatrutide this year?BUY0.149999976$5.00
01-17 18:06Will Elon register any party before 2027?BUY0.1875470673$20.00
01-17 18:05Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?BUY0.1591691371$10.00
01-17 18:05Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?BUY0.2060843884$20.00