ukitke
0xc1a7042a73fb93ebb1f616124e93ea22e7f9e9ad
- Realised P&L
- $-223.45
- Volume
- $5.7k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $47.02
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.046 | $35.77 | −$64.23 |
| Will Elon register any party before 2027? · Yes | 0.188 | 0.105 | $11.25 | −$8.75 |
| Will SpaceX have less than 7 launches in January? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.159 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Grok 4.20 be released on January 24, 2026? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will EA say "Mobile" during earnings call? · Yes | 0.069 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.00 |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Medline not IPO by December 31, 2025? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Trump say "Unbelievable" or "Fantastic" or "Incredible" 10+ times during Panthers visit? · No | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $190 end of January? · No | 0.018 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.37at 0.973Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
- +$-0.32at 0.070Xi Jinping out before 2027?
- +$-0.77at 0.016Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
- +$-1.27at 0.150FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
- +$-3.83at 0.0909.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-17 12:47 | Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? | BUY | 0.08 | $100.00 |
| 06-17 12:46 | 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | SELL | 0.0555474755 | $6.17 |
| 06-17 12:46 | Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.24 |
| 06-17 12:46 | FDA approves Retatrutide this year? | SELL | 0.1160006001 | $3.87 |
| 06-17 12:45 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | SELL | 0.068 | $4.86 |
| 06-17 12:45 | Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $14.56 |
| 06-17 12:44 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.979 | $73.59 |
| 01-17 18:31 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.9729999997 | $73.15 |
| 01-17 18:30 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0699999874 | $5.00 |
| 01-17 18:29 | Will Medline not IPO by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 01-17 18:28 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999989 | $100.00 |
| 01-17 18:24 | FDA approves Retatrutide this year? | BUY | 0.149999976 | $5.00 |
| 01-17 18:06 | Will Elon register any party before 2027? | BUY | 0.1875470673 | $20.00 |
| 01-17 18:05 | Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1591691371 | $10.00 |
| 01-17 18:05 | Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026? | BUY | 0.2060843884 | $20.00 |