0xC1a61bCA0F4Aa746c721f80572AaCC9E82eE3a86-1778606452266
0xc1a61bca0f4aa746c721f80572aacc9e82ee3a86
- Realised P&L
- $-73.41
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $13.69
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x China Military clash before 2027? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.026 | $3.90 | −$11.10 |
| Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.025 | $3.50 | −$6.50 |
| Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.079 | 0.026 | $3.31 | −$6.69 |
| China coup attempt before 2027? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.018 | $2.98 | −$2.02 |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.82 |
| Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? · Yes | 0.830 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.63at 0.883Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-23 20:05 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.05 | $22.82 |
| 06-23 20:03 | Will England win on 2026-06-23? | BUY | 0.8299999977 | $50.00 |
| 06-23 17:03 | Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? | BUY | 0.8799999995 | $64.98 |
| 06-15 18:14 | Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0172437366 | $5.00 |
| 06-15 18:14 | Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0785401925 | $10.00 |
| 06-15 18:13 | Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999939 | $10.00 |
| 06-15 18:12 | China coup attempt before 2027? | BUY | 0.0302470835 | $5.00 |
| 06-15 18:11 | US x China Military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $15.00 |
| 06-15 18:10 | Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans? | BUY | 0.0051136364 | $3.00 |