PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xC1a61bCA0F4Aa746c721f80572AaCC9E82eE3a86-1778606452266

0xc1a61bca0f4aa746c721f80572aacc9e82ee3a86

Realised P&L
$-73.41
Volume
$2.1k
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$13.69

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x China Military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1000.026$3.90−$11.10
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? · Yes0.0700.025$3.50−$6.50
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0790.026$3.31−$6.69
China coup attempt before 2027? · Yes0.0300.018$2.98−$2.02
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$22.82
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00−$5.00
Will England win on 2026-06-23? · Yes0.8300.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00−$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-23 20:05Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.05$22.82
06-23 20:03Will England win on 2026-06-23?BUY0.8299999977$50.00
06-23 17:03Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?BUY0.8799999995$64.98
06-15 18:14Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by June 30, 2026?BUY0.0172437366$5.00
06-15 18:14Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0785401925$10.00
06-15 18:13Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?BUY0.0699999939$10.00
06-15 18:12China coup attempt before 2027?BUY0.0302470835$5.00
06-15 18:11US x China Military clash before 2027?BUY0.1$15.00
06-15 18:10Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?BUY0.0051136364$3.00