0xc151879e0aaff559a0c8d6d1cfe519c2776a50fa
0xc151879e0aaff559a0c8d6d1cfe519c2776a50fa
- Realised P&L
- $0.65
- Volume
- $219.05
- Markets traded
- 67
- Open portfolio
- $3.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded67
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.725 | $1.13 | +$0.13 |
| Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.700 | 0.685 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.610 | 0.585 | $0.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.225 | $0.58 | −$0.42 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.43at 0.258Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?
- +$3.79at 0.288Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference?
- +$3.32at 0.237SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1?
- +$3.13at 0.329S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 20?
- +$2.61at 0.369Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $120 Week of September 14 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 23:32 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 15:21 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:23 | Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 09:29 | Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 15:03 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 13:44 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 05:41 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on October 1? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 20:54 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 10:17 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 01:53 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:38 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 04:48 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 25? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 15:49 | Will Costco say "Dividend" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 07:42 | Will Trump say "Garden" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.2999999799 | $1.49 |
| 09-23 23:42 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in September? | BUY | 0.4599999197 | $1.49 |