dandawo
0xc151827d14f9fab46f9aae14b35ae3131b3d7634
- Realised P&L
- $-58.93
- Volume
- $5.1k
- Markets traded
- 143
- Open portfolio
- $123.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded143
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.089 | 0.250 | $43.83 | +$28.15 |
| Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.226 | 0.605 | $42.95 | +$26.91 |
| Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.625 | $8.11 | −$1.10 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.395 | $8.09 | −$0.31 |
| Will Wang Mei-hui win the next Chiayi City Mayor election? · Yes | 0.790 | 0.785 | $6.28 | −$0.04 |
| Will Hsu Hsin-ying win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.365 | $5.61 | −$0.38 |
| Will Wu Tsung-hsien win the next Yilan County Magistrate election? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.235 | $4.44 | −$0.28 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes | 0.380 | 0.305 | $4.38 | −$1.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.62at 0.775Will France win on 2026-06-30?
- +$17.02at 0.170Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
- +$16.72at 0.090Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
- +$15.11at 0.607Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
- +$13.49at 0.551Panama vs. England: O/U 12.5 Total Corners
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 12:32 | Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? | BUY | 0.7099999966 | $2.11 |
| 09-21 12:32 | Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? | BUY | 0.71 | $7.10 |
| 09-21 12:30 | Will Hsu Hsin-ying win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election? | BUY | 0.39 | $5.99 |
| 09-21 12:29 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.41 | $8.40 |
| 09-21 12:28 | Will Wang Mei-hui win the next Chiayi City Mayor election? | BUY | 0.79 | $6.32 |
| 09-20 10:54 | Will Wu Tsung-hsien win the next Yilan County Magistrate election? | BUY | 0.25 | $4.73 |
| 09-20 10:39 | Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | SELL | 0.31 | $5.03 |
| 09-11 14:37 | Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.67 |
| 09-11 14:37 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.17 | $1.70 |
| 08-14 13:23 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.38 | $5.45 |
| 08-13 21:30 | Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays | SELL | 0.999 | $5.60 |
| 08-13 20:38 | Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays | BUY | 0.7299999982 | $4.10 |
| 08-13 20:36 | Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees | SELL | 0.999 | $4.17 |
| 08-13 19:59 | Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.75 | $3.13 |
| 08-13 19:55 | Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | SELL | 0.197 | $3.24 |