dandawo
0xc151827d14f9fab46f9aae14b35ae3131b3d7634
- Realised P&L
- $-33.78
- Volume
- $4.8k
- Markets traded
- 136
- Open portfolio
- $76.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded136
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.089 | 0.165 | $28.93 | +$13.25 |
| Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.226 | 0.300 | $21.30 | +$5.26 |
| Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.105 | $15.96 | +$2.28 |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? · No | 0.373 | 0.325 | $5.34 | −$0.80 |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.332 | 0.262 | $2.62 | −$0.70 |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.275 | $2.28 | +$0.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.06at 0.770Will France win on 2026-06-30?
- +$17.11at 0.166Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
- +$15.38at 0.600Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
- +$13.53at 0.550Panama vs. England: O/U 12.5 Total Corners
- +$11.53at 0.840Spread: France (-2.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 08:53 | Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | BUY | 0.373 | $6.14 |
| 08-03 08:42 | Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | SELL | 0.627 | $2.34 |
| 08-02 13:55 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 4 Winner | BUY | 0.5399999552 | $2.17 |
| 08-01 13:52 | Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | BUY | 0.668999962 | $2.50 |
| 08-01 13:39 | Will Marco Rubio say "Trump" 3+ times during Fox News: My View appearance? | BUY | 0.698 | $1.55 |
| 08-01 13:34 | Will PH win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections? | SELL | 0.998 | $4.10 |
| 08-01 11:49 | Will PH win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections? | BUY | 0.8799999903 | $3.62 |
| 08-01 11:47 | Will PH win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections? | SELL | 0.13 | $3.73 |
| 07-26 23:39 | Will PH win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections? | BUY | 0.35 | $7.78 |
| 07-26 23:38 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | SELL | 0.41 | $8.20 |
| 07-24 19:09 | Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.27 | $2.24 |
| 07-24 19:09 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.332 | $3.32 |
| 07-24 15:26 | Will PH win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.43 |
| 07-24 15:25 | Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | SELL | 0.696 | $7.04 |
| 07-24 14:05 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.4699998903 | $1.80 |