PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Predictoor

0xc13c2640d6c6a9963d9b71ba58071f773092df5c

Realised P&L
$-513.09
Volume
$76.8k
Markets traded
43
Open portfolio
$2.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded43
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)43.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration73.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No0.5160.969$1.5k+$700.50
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026? · Yes0.5100.455$187.35−$22.65
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.5460.955$174.73+$74.73
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? · No0.2270.265$116.58+$16.58
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2430.155$63.83−$36.17
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$55.00
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner · Alcaraz0.3500.000$0.00−$15.91
Will Taylor Fritz win Wimbledon 2025? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00−$21.00
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Bayer Leverkusen win the Bundesliga? · Yes0.1290.000$0.00−$182.60
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$20.00
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the September meeting? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 US Open? · Yes0.0610.000$0.00−$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 11:51Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?BUY0.5099999999$210.00
10-14 11:48Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?BUY0.2273133828$100.00
05-16 19:49Will Germany be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?BUY0.0627871953$3.00
05-16 19:42Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.001$3.00
05-06 14:21Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?BUY0.2299999975$55.00
04-30 14:21Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.1843192327$50.00
03-16 14:45Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.4$200.00
03-14 15:52Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.003$20.00
03-14 15:50Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0209999996$50.00
03-14 15:43Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.2428431424$100.00
03-14 15:37Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.002$20.00
03-14 15:37Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.01$30.00
03-14 15:35Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.002$20.00
03-14 15:34Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.005$20.00
03-14 15:34Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.004$20.00