Predictoor
0xc13c2640d6c6a9963d9b71ba58071f773092df5c
- Realised P&L
- $-513.09
- Volume
- $76.8k
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $2.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)43.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$709.80at 0.253Clarity Act signed into law in 2025?
- +$285.54at 0.329Lecornu out as French PM by December 31?
- +$283.36at 0.297Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?
- +$170.43at 0.370Will Germany beat Italy
- +$57.95at 0.190Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 11:51 | Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026? | BUY | 0.5099999999 | $210.00 |
| 10-14 11:48 | Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.2273133828 | $100.00 |
| 05-16 19:49 | Will Germany be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.0627871953 | $3.00 |
| 05-16 19:42 | Will Germany win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $3.00 |
| 05-06 14:21 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? | BUY | 0.2299999975 | $55.00 |
| 04-30 14:21 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.1843192327 | $50.00 |
| 03-16 14:45 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $200.00 |
| 03-14 15:52 | Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.003 | $20.00 |
| 03-14 15:50 | Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0209999996 | $50.00 |
| 03-14 15:43 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.2428431424 | $100.00 |
| 03-14 15:37 | Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.002 | $20.00 |
| 03-14 15:37 | Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.01 | $30.00 |
| 03-14 15:35 | Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.002 | $20.00 |
| 03-14 15:34 | Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.005 | $20.00 |
| 03-14 15:34 | Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.004 | $20.00 |