EricaPittman6515
0xc123a2074eae8fde13ac105bcb0c952fd179115c
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $177.4k
- Markets traded
- 318
- Open portfolio
- $243.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded318
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$168.00at 0.190Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?
- +$60.17at 0.782Will Tempo launch a token by March 31, 2026?
- +$53.75at 0.570Sentient FDV above $800M one day after launch?
- +$37.44at 0.680Will Arc launch a token by March 31 2026?
- +$34.32at 0.402Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-08 20:22 | USD.AI FDV above $2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.964 | $9.64 |
| 02-08 20:19 | USD.AI FDV above $2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.964 | $11.57 |
| 01-11 09:41 | Will "Sinners" win the award for Cinematic and Box Office Achievement at the 83rd Golden Globes? | SELL | 0.16 | $3.84 |
| 01-11 05:19 | Will "Sinners" win the award for Cinematic and Box Office Achievement at the 83rd Golden Globes? | BUY | 0.17 | $4.08 |
| 01-11 00:43 | Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $72.68 |
| 01-10 23:24 | Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $72.68 |
| 01-10 23:05 | Will the Houston Texans be eliminated in the Divisional Round? | SELL | 0.66 | $199.32 |
| 01-10 22:30 | Will Tempo launch a token by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.782 | $215.83 |
| 01-10 22:10 | Will the Houston Texans be eliminated in the Divisional Round? | BUY | 0.7 | $211.40 |
| 01-10 20:57 | Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season? | SELL | 0.63 | $444.15 |
| 01-10 08:13 | Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | BUY | 0.74 | $176.86 |
| 01-10 07:49 | Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | SELL | 0.36 | $118.44 |
| 01-10 05:52 | Applied Intuition IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.65 | $92.95 |
| 01-10 04:24 | Applied Intuition IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.66 | $94.38 |
| 01-10 03:45 | Will 'Don't Be Dumb' debut week album sales be between 75k and 100k? | SELL | 0.69 | $407.10 |