PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

bgdogbit

0xc111007ea9cd67145d1b5ff347d2e3787382a00c

Realised P&L
$-1.99
Volume
$4.0k
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$277.81

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
ClearProfit concentration23.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 09:19Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.1003708248$7.30
09-25 09:17Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by October 31?BUY0.1898968329$15.70
09-25 09:14Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?BUY0.2846800354$42.00
09-25 09:09Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.26$13.00
09-25 09:07Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?SELL0.64$81.00
09-01 01:58Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4454854035$58.91
09-01 01:56Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?BUY0.149999976$5.00
09-01 01:52Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?SELL0.92$53.34
08-14 14:41Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.6320987654$80.00
08-14 14:31Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.1674876787$20.00
07-16 05:29Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?BUY0.408422857$65.00
07-16 05:24Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?BUY0.5943118317$34.46
06-20 08:48 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?BUY0.5910447648$12.00
06-20 08:47 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?BUY0.56$45.88
05-30 06:20Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.6691301295$100.00