PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

bkuri

0xc0f2860b44ffe78f1b732ac8a6aea01ecc4cc2de

Realised P&L
$-3.93
Volume
$218.52
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$7.34

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration38.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? · No0.5900.635$1.08+$0.08
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · Yes0.0280.029$1.02+$0.02
Appalachian State vs. Coastal Carolina · Appalachian State0.5400.525$0.97−$0.03
Spread: Appalachian State (-1.5) · Appalachian State0.5100.495$0.97−$0.03
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? · Yes0.2500.225$0.90−$0.10
Spread: James Madison (-12.5) · James Madison0.5200.455$0.88−$0.12
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%? · Yes0.0190.016$0.84−$0.16
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 16? · No0.1600.055$0.69−$1.31
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? · Yes0.0260.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? · Yes0.1720.000$0.00−$9.64
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 23:10Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 16?BUY0.16$1.00
10-15 23:10Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 16?BUY0.16$1.00
10-15 20:40Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?BUY0.1$1.00
10-15 20:20Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?BUY0.2179999983$1.00
10-15 20:20Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?BUY0.2189102081$1.00
10-15 20:20Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?BUY0.2189999542$1.00
10-15 20:10Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?BUY0.2159999827$1.00
10-15 20:10Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?BUY0.2169999967$1.00
10-15 20:10Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?BUY0.2169999967$1.00
10-15 20:10Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?BUY0.2169999967$1.00
10-15 19:50Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?BUY0.019$1.00
10-15 19:40Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?BUY0.25$1.00
10-15 15:31Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?BUY0.2219999756$1.00
10-15 15:31Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?BUY0.2139999632$1.00
10-15 15:20Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?BUY0.2179999983$1.00