PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

helicopter-easy

0xc0e938abd34af6879a0ac39902b686425e9142ec

Realised P&L
$-180.55
Volume
$3.1k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$433.59

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration35.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.6280.302$122.77$132.23
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.4200.335$119.64$30.36
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.6100.595$97.54$2.46
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.5770.540$93.64$6.36
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st? · No0.2900.000$0.00$50.00
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? · No0.2700.000$0.00$100.00
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.4960.000$0.00$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-12 08:34US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?SELL0.66$96.38
04-21 14:58Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?SELL0.486800408$71.58
04-19 04:46Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?BUY0.3899999959$50.00
04-19 04:44Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3399999967$50.00
04-19 04:43Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?BUY0.2899999961$50.00
04-19 04:39US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.3423766417$50.00
04-17 15:56Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.6099999985$100.00
04-17 15:42US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?SELL0.83$184.44
04-12 10:21Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?BUY0.2699999983$100.00
04-12 10:19US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?BUY0.449999998$100.00
04-12 10:15Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.5772207517$100.00
04-08 17:16Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?BUY0.4960696402$100.00
04-08 17:09Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.4199999985$150.00
04-08 17:04Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.626938686$250.00
04-08 13:06Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?SELL0.5486546633$15.24