helicopter-easy
0xc0e938abd34af6879a0ac39902b686425e9142ec
- Realised P&L
- $-180.55
- Volume
- $3.1k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $433.59
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration35.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes | 0.628 | 0.302 | $122.77 | −$132.23 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.335 | $119.64 | −$30.36 |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.595 | $97.54 | −$2.46 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No | 0.577 | 0.540 | $93.64 | −$6.36 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st? · No | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? · No | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.496 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$84.44at 0.450US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
- +$78.21at 0.390Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
- +$46.38at 0.342US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$21.59at 0.340Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
- +$10.24at 0.180Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-12 08:34 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.66 | $96.38 |
| 04-21 14:58 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.486800408 | $71.58 |
| 04-19 04:46 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | BUY | 0.3899999959 | $50.00 |
| 04-19 04:44 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999967 | $50.00 |
| 04-19 04:43 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st? | BUY | 0.2899999961 | $50.00 |
| 04-19 04:39 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3423766417 | $50.00 |
| 04-17 15:56 | Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.6099999985 | $100.00 |
| 04-17 15:42 | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $184.44 |
| 04-12 10:21 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? | BUY | 0.2699999983 | $100.00 |
| 04-12 10:19 | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.449999998 | $100.00 |
| 04-12 10:15 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.5772207517 | $100.00 |
| 04-08 17:16 | Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4960696402 | $100.00 |
| 04-08 17:09 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4199999985 | $150.00 |
| 04-08 17:04 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.626938686 | $250.00 |
| 04-08 13:06 | Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.5486546633 | $15.24 |